项目管理中时间成本权衡的在线风险-回报模型

Guan-qun NI , Yin-feng XU , Xiao-wen XU
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引用次数: 4

摘要

考虑关键路径上工作延迟的不确定性,将在线策略和竞争分析引入到项目管理的时间成本优化中。给出了各策略的竞争比,并证明了预冲策略是最优确定策略。分析了一般策略与最优离线策略之间的关系,发现了三个性质。在此基础上,设计风险承受策略并证明其竞争比,帮助项目经理根据自身的风险承受能力和预测选择最优策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Online Risk-Reward Model for Time-Cost Tradeoff in Project Management

Taking into account the uncertain delay of work on the critical path, the online strategy and competitive analysis are introduced into time-cost optimizing in project management. The competitive ratio of the strategy is given, and the prerushing strategy is proved to be the best determinate one. The relationship between the general strategy and the optimal offline strategy is analyzed, and three properties are discovered. On this basis, this article designs the risk-tolerance strategy and proves its competitive ratio to help the project manager in choosing the optimal strategy according to his own risk tolerance and forecast.

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