基于全球数据的概念水文模型HYMOD参数区划

Satish Bastola
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在未测量的集水区中近似计算流量数据是具有挑战性的,通常通过参数区划来解决。虽然识别流域属性与模型参数之间的关系很简单,但模型参数和函数关系的不确定性导致区划不佳。选择简洁的模型结构、合理的集水区属性、合理的定标策略和合理的区域模型结构是分区成功的关键。HYMOD模型的参数是在全球59个流域使用3年的校准周期和进化算法进行校准的,这非常适合考虑水文模型校准的多目标性质。优化后的参数集令人满意地再现了用于校准区域模型的所有集水区的观测流量。在定标和验证过程中,对多元多项式回归(MPR)和多目标区域定标(MORC)方法得到的最优区域关系进行了开发和评价。对于用于区域关系校准的流域,使用MPR和MORC方法估算参数的模式模拟性能损失分别为14%和10%。假定未测量的盆地的性能损失分别为MPR和MORC的15%和12.6%。在推导和评价区域功能时,这两个流域的MORC更为有效。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The regionalization of a parameter of HYMOD, a conceptual hydrological model, using data from across the globe

The approximation of streamflow data in an un-gauged catchment is challenging and is generally addressed through parameter regionalization. Though identifying the relationships between catchment attributes and model parameters is straightforward, the uncertainties in both model parameters and functional relationships lead to poor regionalization. The key to successful regionalization is selecting a parsimonious model structure, proper catchment attributes, a better calibration strategy, and a proper regional model structure. The parameters of the HYMOD model were calibrated from 59 watersheds across the globe using a three-year calibration period and evolutionary algorithms, which are well-suited to account for the multiobjective nature of hydrological model calibration. The optimized parameter set satisfactorily reproduced the observed flow for all catchments used to calibrate the regional models. Over the calibration and validation period, the optimal regional relationship obtained from the multiple polynomial regression (MPR) and the multiobjective regional calibration (MORC) methods were developed and evaluated. For basins used for calibration of regional relationship, the performance loss of the model simulation with parameters estimated from the MPR and MORC methods was 14% and 10% respectively. The performance loss for basins presumed ungauged was 15 and 12.6% for MPR and MORC respectively. MORC was more effective in both basins considered for the derivation and evaluation of regional functions.

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