冠状病毒大流行的经济影响:成本和危机后的复苏

Christian Dreger
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引用次数: 7

摘要

自冠状病毒爆发以来,全球政策制定者采取了许多紧急措施,如戴口罩、限制流动和旅行,以及关闭大部分经济部门,包括公司、工作场所和学校。在大多数国家,实施限制(封锁)有助于将感染人数控制在卫生保健系统的能力以下。虽然许多人的生命得到了挽救,但封锁导致了全球范围内的严重衰退。本文探讨了冠状病毒的经济成本和稳固复苏的前景。私人家庭和企业的不确定性增加、为抵御未来冲击而建立的缓冲、全球化进程逆转导致的生产率下降、导致效率低下的非最优政策组合以及资产市场产生的潜在风险,都可能阻碍经济恢复到危机前的稳定状态。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic impact of the Corona pandemic: Costs and the recovery after the crisis

Since the outbreak of the Corona virus, policymakers around the globe introduced numerous emergency measures such as the wearing of masks, restrictions to mobility and travel and the shutdown of large parts of the economy, including firms, workplaces and schools. The implementation of restrictions (lockdown) helped to keep the number of infections below the capacity of health care systems in most countries. While many human lives have been saved, the lockdown contributed to a severe recession at the global scale. This paper examines the economic costs of the Corona virus and the prospects for a solid recovery. Increased uncertainty of private households and firms and the building of buffers against future shocks, lower productivity due to a reversal of the globalization process and a non-optimal policy mix generating inefficiencies and potential risks arising from asset markets can prevent a return to the pre-crisis steady state.

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