移民合法化对犯罪的影响:1986年移民改革与控制法案

S. Baker
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引用次数: 19

摘要

在20世纪70年代后期,进入美国的无证移民率急剧上升。移民人数的增加给联邦政府带来了压力,要求他们找到处理移民问题的办法,最终在1986年出台了《移民改革和控制法》(IRCA)。本文试图考察1986年的IRCA对美国犯罪行为的影响,该法案使250多万无证移民合法化。利用IRCA申请过程中的行政数据,我发现有证据表明,IRCA申请人在合法化之前与较高的犯罪率有关,而在合法化之后,这种联系消失了。与1%的人口合法化相关的全国犯罪率下降约2%-5%,主要是由于财产犯罪的下降。由于合法化,犯罪率的下降相当于每年减少16万到40万起犯罪。最后,我使用经验工资和就业数据校准了犯罪的劳动力市场模型,并发现犯罪率下降的大部分原因可以解释为那些通过IRCA合法化的人有更多的就业市场机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of Immigrant Legalization on Crime: The 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act
In the late 1970's, rates of undocumented immigration into the United States increased dra- matically. This increase led to pressure on the federal government to nd some way of dealing with the immigrants, culminating in the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act (IRCA). This paper seeks to examine the e ects that the 1986 IRCA, which legalized over 2.5 million undocumented immigrants, had on the commission of crime in the United States. Using ad- ministrative data from the IRCA application process, I nd evidence that IRCA applicants are associated with higher crime rates prior to legalization and that, subsequent to legalization, this association disappears. I nd national decreases in crime of approximately 2%-5% associ- ated with one percent of the population being legalized, primarily due to a drop in property crimes. This fall in crime is equivalent to 160,000-400,000 fewer crimes committed each year due to legalization. Finally, I calibrate a labor market model of crime using empirical wage and employment data and nd that much of the drop in crime could be explained by greater job market opportunities among those legalized by the IRCA.
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