基于空间主体的疟疾模型:模型验证及其空间异质性效应

S. M. Niaz Arifin, Gregory J. Davis, Ying Zhou
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引用次数: 21

摘要

在基于代理的建模ABM中,为了对系统的某些方面进行实际建模,可能需要显式的空间表示。一个空间的ABM包括景观,在这些景观中,主体寻求生存所必需的资源。底层景观的空间异质性在资源寻找过程中起着至关重要的作用。本研究描述了一个基于主体的疟疾模型,并对其空间扩展进行了建模。在这两个模型中,所有的蚊子媒介都是单独表示的。在新的空间模型中,智能体还具有明确的空间信息。在一个景观中,成年雌蚊媒介寻找两种类型的资源:水生栖息地AHs和血食地点bml。这些资源在不同的空间模式或景观中被指定。通过对接,研究了非空间模型与空间模型之间的模型验证。通过使用不同的景观,作者表明蚊子的数量保持不变。在整体系统容量相同的情况下,改变景观中资源的密度不会影响丰度。当资源密度一定时,总体容量驱动系统。在空间模型中,利用两种资源类型不同资源密度的景观,揭示了空间异质性对蚊虫种群数量的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Spatial Agent-Based Model of Malaria: Model Verification and Effects of Spatial Heterogeneity
In agent-based modeling ABM, an explicit spatial representation may be required for certain aspects of the system to be modeled realistically. A spatial ABM includes landscapes in which agents seek resources necessary for their survival. The spatial heterogeneity of the underlying landscape plays a crucial role in the resource-seeking process. This study describes a previous agent-based model of malaria, and the modeling of its spatial extension. In both models, all mosquito agents are represented individually. In the new spatial model, the agents also possess explicit spatial information. Within a landscape, adult female mosquito agents search for two types of resources: aquatic habitats AHs and bloodmeal locations BMLs. These resources are specified within different spatial patterns, or landscapes. Model verification between the non-spatial and spatial models by means of docking is examined. Using different landscapes, the authors show that mosquito abundance remains unchanged. With the same overall system capacity, varying the density of resources in a landscape does not affect abundance. When the density of resources is constant, the overall capacity drives the system. For the spatial model, using landscapes with different resource densities of both resource-types, the authors show that spatial heterogeneity influences the mosquito population.
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