J. Forman, Michael J. Sabin
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引用次数: 22

摘要

通券是可以用来提供退休收入的投资工具。tontine是一种结合了年金和彩票特点的金融产品。简单来说,就是一群投资者把他们的钱集中在一起购买一个投资组合,当投资者去世时,他们的股份被没收,整个基金归最后一位幸存的投资者所有。多年来,这种“最后的幸存者包揽一切”的方法造就了一些伟大的小说。例如,在热门电视剧《风流医生》(M*A*S*H)的一集里,谢尔曼·t·波特上校(Sherman T. Potter)作为一战部队的最后一名幸存者,打开了他和战友们买的一瓶法国干邑白兰地(并与朝鲜战争的战友们分享)。另一方面,有时虚构的情节涉及邪恶人物试图杀死其他投资者以“继承”基金。当然,可以设计出避免这种恶作剧的时间表。例如,tontine可以进行周期性的分配,而不是将所有的贡献分配给最后一个幸存者。事实上,tontines可以用来创建“tont年金”,出售给个人投资者。这些tontine年金将定期分配给幸存的投资者,但与传统tontine年金不同的是,tontine年金将吸引新的投资者来取代那些已经死亡的投资者。按照这种方式构建,定期年金可以永久运作。在本文中,我们考虑如何使用tontine原则来创建“tontine养老金”,通过该养老金,大型雇主可以为其雇员提供退休收入。与今天的大多数养老金、年金和其他退休收入产品相比,这些长期养老金有几个主要优势。首先,本文的第一部分解释了当前美国退休制度是如何运作的,以及退休人员如何使用养老金、年金和其他金融产品来产生退休收入。接下来,第二部分逐步解释了tontonfunds、tonton年金和tontonpension在今天是如何运作的。然后,将定期养老金与传统的固定收益养老金计划、固定缴款计划和所谓的“混合养老金”(如现金余额计划)进行比较。第二部分特别指出,与传统养恤金相比,tontine养恤金有两大优势。首先,与经常资金不足的传统养老金不同,未来养老金总是资金充足。其次,与传统养老金(养老金计划发起人必须承担所有的投资和精算风险)不同,tontine养老金不承担这些风险。对于那些希望为雇员提供退休收入保障,但又希望避免传统养老金相关风险的雇主来说,这两个特点使定期养老金成为一种特别有吸引力的选择。然后,第三部分为典型的大型雇主开发了一个模型。然后,我们使用该模型来估计将支付给退休人员的福利。为简单起见,该模型假设,每年,雇主将每个雇员工资的10%贡献给固定养老金(在现实世界中,雇主可以选择代表他们的雇员贡献更高或更低的工资百分比)。该模型为每位退休人员提供了长期养老金福利,这与精算公平的可变年金非常相似——即没有高额保险公司费用(“负担”)。具体来说,与商业年金不同,商业年金必须支持保险代理佣金、保险公司准备金、风险承担和利润,而与运营定期年金相关的管理和记录保存费用将是最低的。这意味着,与商业年金相比,tontine养老金提供的退休福利要高得多。第四部分展示了如何使用这种模型来取代典型的、大型的、传统的养老金计划,如加利福尼亚州教师退休系统(CalSTRS)。像许多其他国家的养老金计划一样,加州公务员退休基金资金不足;例如,截至2013年6月30日,CalSTRS的资金充足率仅为66.9%,未融资负债近740亿美元。虽然用定期养老金取代CalSTRS不会减少740亿美元的债务,但它将确保加州再也不用担心由于未来的福利累积而导致的资金不足。最后,第五部分讨论了如何解决在实施定期养恤金时可能出现的一些技术问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Tontine Pensions
Tontines are investment vehicles that can be used to provide retirement income. A tontine is a financial product that combines the features of an annuity and a lottery. In a simple tontine, a group of investors pool their money together to buy a portfolio of investments and, as investors die, their shares are forfeited, with the entire fund going to the last surviving investor. Over the years, this “last survivor takes all” approach has made for some great fiction. For example, in an episode of the popular television series M*A*S*H, Colonel Sherman T. Potter, as the last survivor of his World War I unit, got to open the bottle of French cognac that he and his buddies bought (and share it with his Korean War compatriots). On the other hand, sometimes the fictional plots involved nefarious characters trying to kill off the rest of the investors to “inherit” the fund. Of course, tontines can be designed to avoid such mischief. For example, instead of distributing all of the contributions to the last survivor, a tontine could make periodic distributions. Indeed, tontines could be used to create “tontine annuities” that could be sold to individual investors. These tontine annuities would make periodic distributions to surviving investors, but unlike traditional tontines, tontine annuities would solicit new investors to replace those that have died. Structured in this way, a tontine annuity could operate in perpetuity. In this Article, we consider how the tontine principle could be used to create “tontine pensions” through which large employers could provide retirement income for their employees. These tontine pensions would have several major advantages over most of today’s pensions, annuities, and other retirement income products. At the outset, Part I of this Article explains how the current U.S. retirement system works and how retirees can use pensions, annuities, and other financial products to generate retirement income. Next, Part II offers a step-by-step explanation of how tontine funds, tontine annuities, and tontine pensions could work today. It then compares tontine pensions with traditional defined benefit pension plans, defined contribution plans, and so-called “hybrid pensions” (e.g., cash balance plans). In particular, Part II shows that tontine pensions would have two major advantages over traditional pensions. First, unlike traditional pensions — which are frequently underfunded — tontine pensions would always be fully funded. Second, unlike a traditional pension — in which the pension plan sponsor must bear all the investment and actuarial risks — with a tontine pension, the plan sponsor bears neither of those risks. These two features should make tontine pensions a particularly attractive alternative for employers who wish to provide retirement income security for their employees but want to avoid the risks associated with a traditional pension. Part III then develops a model tontine pension for a typical large employer. We then use that model to estimate the benefits that would be paid to retirees. For simplicity, the model assumes that, each year, an employer would contribute 10% of each employee’s salary to a tontine pension (in the real world, employers could choose to contribute a greater or lesser percentage of salary on behalf of their employees). The model generates tontine pension benefits for each retiree that would closely resemble an actuarially fair variable annuity — i.e., one without high insurance company fees (“loads”). Specifically, unlike commercial annuities which must support insurance agent commissions, insurance company reserves, risk-taking, and profits, the management and recordkeeping fees associated with running a tontine pension would be minimal. That means that tontine pensions would provide significantly higher retirement benefits than commercial annuities. Part IV shows how such a model tontine pension could be used to replace a typical, large, traditional pension plan like the California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS). Like so many other state-run pension plans, CalSTRS is underfunded; for example, as of June 30, 2013, CalSTRS was just 66.9% funded, with an unfunded liability of almost $74 billion. While replacing CalSTRS with a tontine pension would do nothing to reduce that $74 billion obligation, it would ensure that California would never again have to worry about underfunding attributable to future benefit accruals. Finally, Part V discusses how to solve some of the technical problems that would arise in implementing a tontine pension.
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