从智能数据生命周期到智能模拟项目生命周期:以摩洛哥公务员自愿离职计划为例

Khadija Ouazzani Touhami, M. E. Arass, N. Souissi
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文研究了离散事件模拟在分析和评估公共战略和政策方面的潜力,并讨论了使用模拟项目生命周期所提供的机会。在此周期之后,我们评估了一个公共政策用例,即2005年在摩洛哥启动的自愿离境操作,并分析了该操作的成功率及其对摩洛哥养老基金的影响,并分析了2005年至2025年期间的情况。正如审计院的报告中已经指出的那样,这次模拟的结果突出了这一行动的无关紧要,特别是从财务角度来看。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
From Smart Data LifeCycle to Smart Simulation Project LifeCycle: The Case of the Voluntary Departure Program of Civil Servants in Morocco
This paper investigates the potential of discrete event simulation for the analysis and evaluation of public strategies and policies and discusses the opportunities offered by the use of a simulation project lifecycle. Following this cycle, we evaluate a public policy use case, the voluntary departure operation initiated in Morocco in 2005, and analyses the success rate of this operation, as well as its impact on the Moroccan pension fund, and this for the period from 2005 to 2025. The results of this simulation highlighted, as already indicated in the Court of Auditors' reports, the irrelevance of this operation, particularly from a financial point of view.
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