印尼证券交易所消费品工业板块Black-Litterman模型的最优投资组合分析

M. Pudjiani, Y. Syaukat, T. Irawan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究的目的是利用Black-Litterman模型,确定2014 - 2018年印尼证券交易所消费品行业的最优投资组合配置。本定量研究使用了2014年1月至2018年12月印度尼西亚证券交易所消费品行业股票价格的二手数据,这些数据来自雅虎财经和印度尼西亚证券交易所。利用Black-Litterman模型确定了四个个股构成了消费品板块的最优投资组合。这些是PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk, PT Kimia Farma Tbk, PT Indofarma Tbk, PT Indofarma Tbk和PT HM Sampoerna Tbk的股票。结果表明,占比最大的股票为ICBP,占比为685379%。与此同时,印度空军的比例最小,为30277%。根据这个比例计算平均收益,得到3678 %,而风险值为1471 %。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimum Portfolio Analysis of Black-Litterman Model in The Indonesian Stock Exchange on Consumer Goods Industrial Sector
The aim of the research was to identify the allocation of optimum portfolio formation in consumer goods sector at Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2014 to 2018 by using Black-Litterman model. This quantitative research used secondary data on stock prices of the consumer goods sector on the Indonesian Stock Exchange from January 2014 to December 2018 which was obtained from Yahoo Finance and the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Four stocks formed the optimum portfolio of consumer goods sector identified by using Black-Litterman model. Those are stocks of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk, PT Kimia Farma Tbk, PT Indofarma Tbk, PT Indofarma Tbk, and PT HM Sampoerna Tbk. The results show that stock with the biggest proportion was ICBP’s with proportion of 68,5379%. Meanwhile the smallest proportion was INAF’s, which is 3,0277%. The mean return was calculated from this proportion, resulting in 3,678% while the risk value was 1,471%.
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