风能和太阳能数据预测的混合优化和机器学习模型

Yahia Amoura, Santiago Torres, J. Lima, Ana I. Pereira
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引用次数: 0

摘要

能源需求的指数级增长导致化石资源的大量能源消耗,对环境造成负面影响。必须促进基于可再生能源基础设施的可持续解决方案,如与现有网络集成的微电网或作为独立的解决方案。此外,今天的主要焦点是能够将更高比例的可再生电力纳入能源结构。风能和太阳能的可变性要求了解有关的长期模式,以便制定更好的程序和能力,以促进与电网的结合。准确的预测对于充分利用这些可再生能源至关重要。本文提出了机器学习方法与混合方法的比较,基于机器学习与优化方法的结合。结果表明,一旦使用优化方法,机器学习模型结果的准确性就会得到提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hybrid optimisation and machine learning models for wind and solar data prediction
The exponential growth in energy demand is leading to massive energy consumption from fossil resources causing a negative effects for the environment. It is essential to promote sustainable solutions based on renewable energies infrastructures such as microgrids integrated to the existing network or as stand alone solution. Moreover, the major focus of today is being able to integrate a higher percentages of renewable electricity into the energy mix. The variability of wind and solar energy requires knowing the relevant long-term patterns for developing better procedures and capabilities to facilitate integration to the network. Precise prediction is essential for an adequate use of these renewable sources. This article proposes machine learning approaches compared to an hybrid method, based on the combination of machine learning with optimisation approaches. The results show the improvement in the accuracy of the machine learning models results once the optimisation approach is used.
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