对克罗地亚区域国际收支的估计

P. Filipić
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引用次数: 1

摘要

无论是作为国家一部分的区域,还是区域发展,在国际贸易理论中都没有占据关注的中心。有几个原因,既有理论上的,也有方法上的,还有完全实际的,包括缺乏任何充分的统计数据,特别是建立克罗地亚区域国际收支所必需的统计数据。因此,这项工作有几个目标。在介绍了个别区域经济政策运行的局限性之后,还有一章对理想的区域国际收支的内容进行了界定。在从区域国际收支的理想内容到客观内容,即反映现有数据的内容的过程中,必须解决许多方法问题并建立适当的统计数据。在续文中,对国际收支的分析揭示了整个地区在外汇方面是负的或正的。尽管个别余额和项目的数量本身就很有趣,但重要的是要理解,不同地区对货币政策的敞口可能需要经济政策的选择性方法。最后,利用地区国际收支,分析了库纳贬值对各地区国内生产总值的影响。可以确定的是,在某种假设的贬值中,如果外币交易按照其他经济总量的其他条件来处理,将会有重大的收益和损失,这将导致克罗地亚更大的发展不平等。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The estimate of regional balances of payments in Croatia
Neither the region, as part of the state, nor regional development has occupied the centre of attention in the theory of international trade. There are several reasons, both theoretical and methodological, as well as entirely practical, including the want of any adequate statistics, particularly those necessary for the construction of Croatian regional balances of payments. Accordingly, there are several objectives to this work. After the introduction in which reference is made to the limitations of the running of individual regional economic policies, comes a chapter in which the content of an ideal regional balance of payments is defined. On the way from the ideal to the objective content of regional balances of payments, that is, one reflecting the available data, many methodological problems had to be solved and suitable statistics set up. In the sequel, the analysis of the balances of payments reveals a whole scale of regions that are negative or positive in terms of foreign currency. Although the quantities of the individual balances and items are interesting in themselves, it is important to understand that the different regional exposures to monetary policy possibly require a selective approach from economic policy. At the end, making use of the regional balances of payments, the influence of the depreciation of the kuna on the gross domestic product of the regions is analysed. It is established that in some hypothetical depreciation, if foreign currency transactions were treated ceteris paribus in relation to other economic aggregates, there would be important gains and losses, which would lead to ever greater developmental inequality in Croatia.
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