湖州地区森林生物质原料的可用性和生物发电设施的经济贡献

Raju Pokharel, J. Poudel, Ram P. Dahal, Shivan Gc
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引用次数: 1

摘要

湖州(MI, MN, WI)地区拥有5480万英亩的森林,并提供了通过森林生物质满足日益增长的可持续能源需求的潜力。本研究的目的是在考虑到木材价格的可持续性阈值及其对湖泊国家区域的经济影响后,估计每年可利用的生物量。该研究确定了除石油、天然气和煤炭外,还使用生物质的27个有功电力设施,总容量为385万兆瓦时/年。2019年,它们消耗了280万吨干生物质。按照目前交付的木材价格,经济上可获得额外的972万吨干生物质,如果使用这些生物质,将产生额外的11112个就业机会(1583个直接和9529个间接和诱导),15.4亿美元的附加值(8.03亿美元的直接和7.33亿美元的间接和诱导)和27.1亿美元的总产出(14.6亿美元的直接和12.5亿美元的间接和诱导)。如果将现有生物质发电能力的至少三分之一投入使用,将增加1,969个就业岗位,创造2.93亿美元的附加值,并实现4.13亿美元的总产出。扩大生物质生物能源工业有可能显著增加经济影响,特别是在农村地区。研究意义:利用生物质交付木材价格绘制资源分配采购区地图,有助于确定湖泊州生物质发电的经济可用性。我们的研究结果确定了生物质能的市场范围,并确定了投资生物质能生产或能力升级可行的潜在领域。这项研究还提供了对额外生物质利用来发电的经济影响的见解。这些影响大部分将出现在农村地区,促进这些社区的经济增长。一项综合分析估计了生物能源产业扩张的潜在供需和经济影响,为国家森林行动计划和私营部门森林管理计划的决策提供了宝贵的见解。此外,本研究的结果将有助于为有效的区域生物质能产业政策和投资决策提供信息。所使用的方法也可以针对特定设施进行定制,以评估其采购区域、原料可用性和经济影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forest Biomass Feedstock Availability and Economic Contribution of Biopower Facilities in the Lake States Region
The Lake States (MI, MN, WI) region holds 54.8 million acres of forest and offers the potential to meet the increasing demand for sustainable energy through forest biomass. The objective of this study is to estimate the annual availability of biomass, after considering the sustainability threshold, for a wood price and its economic impact in the Lake States region. This study identified twenty-seven active power facilities using biomass in addition to oil, gas, and coal, with a total capacity of 3.85 million MWh per year. They consumed 2.80 million dry tons of biomass in 2019. At the current delivered wood price, an additional 9.72 million dry tons of biomass is economically available, which, if used, would generate an additional 11,112 jobs (1,583 direct and 9,529 indirect and induced), $1.54 billion in value added ($803 million direct and $733 million indirect and induced), and $2.71 billion ($1.46 billion direct and $1.25 billion indirect and induced) in total output. Operating at least one-third of the existing capacity for biomass-based power generation would add 1,969 jobs, $293 million in value added, and $413 million in total output. The expansion of the biomass biopower industry has the potential to significantly increase economic impact, especially in rural areas. Study Implications: Mapping procurement zones for resource allocation using delivered wood prices for biomass helps identify the economic availability of biomass for electric power production in the Lake States. Our results establish the market extent for biomass and identify potential areas where investment in biopower production or capacity upgrade is feasible. This study also provides insight into the economic impacts of additional biomass utilization to produce power. Most of these impacts would come about in rural areas, improving economic growth in these communities. A combined analysis estimating the potential supply and demand and the economic effects of biopower industry expansion provides valuable insight into decision-making for state forest action plans and private sector forest management plans. Furthermore, the findings from this study will help inform effective regional policy and investment decisions on biomass power industries. The method used can also be tailored to a specific facility to estimate its procurement zone, feedstock availability, and economic impacts.
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