沙质土壤极端火险条件下气候和人为对森林火灾的影响

IF 1.2 Q3 GEOGRAPHY
Milan Milenkovic, V. Ducić, Dragan Obradovic, Aleksandar Dedic, D. Burić
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引用次数: 0

摘要

沙质土壤上的森林特别容易受到火灾的影响。本研究的研究区域为Deliblatska pescara (Deliblato Sands),这是塞尔维亚最濒危的地区之一。采用线性趋势、多项式趋势和Pearson相关系数(r)进行分析。森林火灾次数有统计学意义上的减少,而燃烧面积和被烧毁森林面积的增加趋势不显著。在同一时期,气温也有所上升。在一项关于森林火灾与大西洋多年代际振荡(AMO)之间关系的研究中,仅在火灾的年数量上观测到显著的r值。最高的是6月(-0.373)和7月(-0.375),夏季r = -0.374 (p ?. 01)。主要火灾季节(2 ~ 8月)的AMO, r = -0.331 (p ?. 01)。在调查期间,德利布拉斯卡佩斯卡拉地区居民点的居民、农业人口和农户数量都有减少的趋势。这些趋势有助于减少火灾风险。火灾数量与人口动态之间的r值为0.50 (p ?. 01)。农业活动的减少有助于减少火灾风险,而游客的增加是一个风险因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils
Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska pescara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ? .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ? .01). In settlements in Deliblatska pescara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ? .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
16.70%
发文量
16
审稿时长
12 weeks
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