极端天气事件与经济活动:以莱茵河低水位为例

IF 1.2 4区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

German Economic Review Pub Date : 2023-03-14 DOI:10.1515/ger-2022-0077

Marten Ademmer, Nils Jannsen, Saskia Meuchelböck

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们利用莱茵河水位的历史数据来分析与天气有关的供应冲击对德国经济活动的影响。我们的分析表明，低水位导致内河运输的严重中断，并导致经济活动的显著和有经济意义的减少。在30天缺水的一个月里，德国的工业生产在其他条件不变的情况下下降了约1%。我们的分析强调了极端天气事件对商业周期分析的重要性，并有助于衡量发达经济体极端天气事件的成本。

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Extreme Weather Events and Economic Activity: The Case of Low Water Levels on the Rhine River

Abstract We make use of historical data on water levels on the Rhine river to analyze the impact of weather-related supply shocks on economic activity in Germany. Our analysis shows that low water levels lead to severe disruptions in inland water transportation and cause a significant and economically meaningful decrease of economic activity. In a month with 30 days of low water, industrial production in Germany declines by about 1 percent, ceteris paribus. Our analysis highlights the importance of extreme weather events for business cycle analysis and contributes to gauging the costs of extreme weather events in advanced economies.

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来源期刊

German Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

9.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： German Economic Review, the official publication of the German Economic Association (Verein für Socialpolitik), is an international journal publishing original and rigorous research of general interest in a broad range of economic disciplines, including: - macro- and microeconomics - economic policy - international economics - public economics - finance - business administration The scope of research approaches includes theoretical, empirical and experimental work. Innovative and thought-provoking contributions, in particular from younger authors, are especially welcome.