模拟人类携带能力作为食物供应的函数

Diny Zulkarnaen, M. Rodrigo
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要:我们假设人类的承载能力是由食物供应决定的。本文提出了三类物流型人口动态模型,其中承载力是粮食生产指数的函数。我们还采用了一种基于积分的参数估计技术来推导模型参数的显式公式。利用实际人口和粮食生产指数数据,我们的模型的数值模拟表明,粮食供应的增加意味着承载力的增加,但承载力是“自我限制”的,不会无限期地增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
MODELLING HUMAN CARRYING CAPACITY AS A FUNCTION OF FOOD AVAILABILITY
Abstract We assume that human carrying capacity is determined by food availability. We propose three classes of human population dynamical models of logistic type, where the carrying capacity is a function of the food production index. We also employ an integration-based parameter estimation technique to derive explicit formulas for the model parameters. Using actual population and food production index data, numerical simulations of our models suggest that an increase in food availability implies an increase in carrying capacity, but the carrying capacity is “self-limiting” and does not increase indefinitely.
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