在欧盟15国和中东欧国家中,哪些国家的外国直接投资表现最好?比较面板数据分析

Miroslav Mateev, I. Tsekov
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文利用面板数据研究了26个欧盟国家外国直接投资流入的主要决定因素。我们的实证研究采用了不同的方法,将欧洲国家分为两组:西方(EU-15)国家和中欧和东欧(CEE)国家。对1994-2012年26个欧盟国家FDI流入的面板数据分析结果表明:(1)市场规模、贸易开放程度、失业率、基础设施、税率和单位劳动力成本等传统区位变量能够在很大程度上解释这两类国家的FDI流入;(2)经济增长、单位劳动力成本和信用风险等国家特定因素导致了欧盟15国和中东欧国家之间FDI模式的差异;(3)政策和制度质量因素对两类国家都起着重要作用。在对东道国相对绩效水平进行分析时,我们发现,FDI绩效排名前十的国家之所以能够吸引大量FDI,是因为它们的宏观经济稳定,制度发展水平较高,而对于FDI占主导地位较低的欧盟国家来说,政策和制度风险因素的作用更为重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Are there any top FDI performers among EU-15 and CEE countries? A comparative panel data analysis
This paper examines the major determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in 26 European Union (EU) countries using panel data. Our empirical study takes a different approach by separating European countries into two groups: Western (EU-15) countries and Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. The results from the panel data analysis of FDI inflows to 26 EU countries for the period 1994-2012 show that: (1) traditional location variables such as market size, trade openness, unemployment, infrastructure, tax rate and unit labour costs are able, to a large extent, to explain FDI flows to both groups of countries; (2) there are country-specific factors such as economic growth, unit labour costs and credit risk that contribute to the differences in FDI patterns across EU-15 and CEECs; and (3) policy and institutional quality factors are found to play an important role for both groups of countries. When analyzing host countries based on their relative level of performance, we find that the top ten FDI performers are able to attract a significant amount of FDI because of their macroeconomic stability and high level of institutional development, while for EU countries with low FDI dominance, policy and institutional risk factors play a more important role.
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