美国电力公司对化石燃料的需求

Noel D. Uri
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在电能的产生中存在着燃料间替代的可能性。鉴于这一经济事实,研究了电力公司对各种化石燃料需求的反应。利用总时间序列数据,结果表明电力公司对煤、石油和天然气的需求对相对价格变化的响应是显著的。正如预期的那样,随着发电水平的扩大,对化石燃料的需求也会增加,其影响按比例分布在化石燃料上。一个最有趣的结果是电力公司对天然气的需求对天气条件变化的负面反应。可能的原因是,根据目前的监管惯例,一旦出现供应短缺,电力公用事业是最先被削减的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The demand for fossil fuels by electric utilities in the United States

There exists the possibility of interfuel substitution in the generation of electrical energy. The responsiveness of the demand for various fossil fuels by electric utilities, given this economic fact, is investigated. Using aggregate time series data, the results indicate that the responsiveness of the demand for coal, oil, and natural gas by electric utilities to relative price changes is significant. As expected, the demand for fossil fuel increases as the level of generation expands, with the impact being proportionally spread over the fossil fuels. A most interesting result is the negative response of the demand for natural gas by electric utilities to changes in weather conditions. The probable reason for this is that electric utilities, based on current regulatory practices, are among the first to be curtailed should any supply short-fall occur.

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