从“劣势”到“最优势”

Sejla Almadi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自1948年默顿定义自我实现预言以来,它已被几个学科所采用,然而,只有一小部分研究准确地建立在其原始的完整概念之上。实证论文甚至在证明它的一个重要部分时遇到了挑战,特别是通过参与者的行为在不知不觉中实现的最初预期必须是“错误的”。这个关键点是自我实现预言研究的阿喀琉斯之踵,包括它的特殊案例,加拉蒂亚、格莱姆和皮格马利翁效应实验。本研究综述了自我实现预言在教育研究、心理学和社会学中的相关主题:互动/刻板印象-耻辱和表现/成就;目的是检查“弱势”人群(即有精神、身体、心理问题的人,弱势的社会经济/家庭背景的人)在诱导自我实现预言的特殊情况下的(总体)角色/潜力-与其他参与者在所有先前审查的研究中的总体角色/潜力进行比较。为此,在社会科学领域史无前例地采用了“伞形评价法”。基于研究证据的纳入-排除标准、基于PRISMA 2020的检索策略和两阶段质量评估((1)作者主导的PRISMA 2020评估,(2)两位研究者的10步方案;结果:4.3-4.4/5),导致两次荟萃分析的样本。数据的收集和总结是基于定性和定量的发现。结果显示,“弱势”实验的效应量(d在1.38-2.20之间)超过了meta分析的总体效应量(d1 = 0.81, d2 = 1.13)和大多数样本研究的效应量。关于Merton的“最初错误的概念”只有当“弱势群体”成为这些实验的对象时才能完全融入到研究设计中——即确实测量了一个自我实现的预言——最后的结论是,“弱势群体”实际上是“最有利”的人,在诱导自我实现预言的积极案例中,尤其是皮格马利翁效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
From being “disadvantaged” to becoming the most advantaged
Since Merton defined the self-fulfilling prophecy in 1948, it has been adopted to several disciplines, and yet, only a small proportion of researches was built on its original complete notion accurately. Empirical papers even met challenges in proving an important part of it, notably that the initial expectation, that came true unwittingly through the behaviour of participants, had to be “false”. That crucial point is the Achilles heel of self-fulfilling prophecy researches, including its special cases, the Galatea, Golem and Pygmalion effect experiments. The research gave an overview on the self-fulfilling prophecies’ related themes in Educational Research, Psychology and Sociology: interactions/stereotypes–stigmas and performance/ achievement; and aimed to examine the (aggregate) role/potential of “disadvantaged” people (i.e. people with mental, physical, psychological problems, disadvantaged socioeconomic/ familial backgrounds) in inducing the special cases of self-fulfilling prophecy – compared to other participants’ aggregate role/potential across all formerly reviewed studies. To this end, an umbrella review method was implemented, that has been unprecedented in social science. A research evidence-based inclusion–exclusion criteria, a PRISMA 2020-based search strategy, and a two-phase quality appraisal ((1) an author-led PRISMA 2020 assessment, (2) a two-researcher 10-step protocol; results: 4.3–4.4/5) were carried out, leading to a sample of two meta-analyses. The data collection and summary were based on qualitative and quantitative findings. The results showed that the effect sizes in “disadvantaged” experiments (d between 1.38–2.20) exceeded overall effect sizes of meta-analyses (d1 = 0.81, d 2 = 1.13) and of most studies in their samples. With regard to that Merton’s “initially false conceptions” can/could be completely incorporated into the research design only when the “disadvantaged” are/were the subject of these experiments – i.e. indeed a self-fulfilling prophecy is/was measured –, the final conclusion is that the “disadvantaged” are actually “the most advantaged” people in inducing the positive cases of self-fulfilling prophecy, particularly Pygmalion effect.
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