基于ARIMA的水资源相关民勤产值时间序列预测

2012 International Symposium on Geomatics for Integrated Water Resource Management Pub Date : 2012-11-12 DOI:10.1109/GIWRM.2012.6349588

Xingdong Li, Zhengcheng Zhang

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引用次数: 3

摘要

长期以来，如何合理利用水资源影响民勤市的经济效益、生态效益和社会效益。本文通过对1956 - 2009年水资源相关产出民勤值的分析，确定合适的自回归综合移动平均模型(ARIMA)，对2010 - 2015年水资源相关产出民勤值进行预测。结果表明，ARIMA模型是有效的，预测数据是可信的。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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A time series forecasting based on ARIMA for Minqin value of output related to water resources

For a long time, how to utilize water resources rationally has influenced Minqin economic, ecological and social benefits. Through analyzing Minqin Value of Output Related to Water Resources from 1956 to 2009, this paper determines the appropriate Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA), forecases Minqin Value of Output Related to Water Resource from 2010 to 2015. The results show that the ARIMA model is effective and forecast data can be trusted.

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2012 International Symposium on Geomatics for Integrated Water Resource Management

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