能源商品的时频连通性与不确定性测度的影响

Q3 Social Sciences
Bernice Nkrumah-Boadu, Peterson Owusu Junior, A. Adam, Vincent Adela
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大宗商品已经成为全球股票、货币和其他资产多样化的新工具。它们的动态和统计特征对金融研究至关重要。此外,在当今相互联系的世界中,不确定性的重要性比以往任何时候都要大。本文通过双小波、偏小波和多小波技术研究了能源商品之间的变动以及不确定性测度的影响。我们通过强调其对财务决策的影响来显示不确定性的重要性。为了测量不确定度,我们使用GEPU、OVX和VIX。通过使用小波方法,我们研究了能源商品如何在时域和频域相互作用,这有助于我们更好地理解相互依赖关系。结果表明,除天然气外,大多数能源商品在短期和长期内都表现出较高的波动。根据部分小波,OVX对能源商品之间的连通性影响最大。对于小波多重相互关联,石油在大多数尺度上(短期、中期和长期)最大化多重相互关联,其次是布伦特原油,可能领先或落后。这些发现对政策制定者和投资者都具有重大的政策意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time-frequency connectedness between energy commodities and the influence of uncertainty measures
Commodities have become a new tool for global diversification among stocks, currencies, and other assets. Their dynamics and statistical characteristics have become crucial to financial research. Furthermore, in the connected world of today, the importance of uncertainties is greater than ever. This article examines the comovements between energy commodities and the influence of uncertainty measures through the bi, partial and multiple wavelet techniques. We show the significance of uncertainties by highlighting their influence on financial decisions. To measure uncertainty, we use GEPU, OVX, and VIX. By using the wavelet approaches, we examine how energy commodities interact in both the time and frequency domains, which helps us better comprehend interdependencies. The results show that most energy commodities display high comovements in the short-, and long-terms, except with natural gas. According to the partial wavelet, OVX has the most significant impact on the connectedness amongst energy commodities. For the wavelet multiple cross-correlations, Petroleum maximises the multiple cross-correlations at most scales (short, medium and long terms) followed by Brent crude with a potential to lead or lag. These findings have substantial policy implications for policymakers as well as meaning for investors.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Management and Sustainability
International Journal of Management and Sustainability Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (all)
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
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