布尔杜尔市地震危险性概率分析

Mehmet Alpyürür
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是利用概率方法评估Burdur市(土耳其西南部)的地震危险性。在研究范围内,编制了Burdur市及其附近地区统一矩震级的新地震目录。用古腾堡-里希特递推关系评价了该地区的地震活动性。危害计算采用R-CRISIS (v18)软件。采用新一代衰减模型进行分析。针对峰值地面加速度和基岩制定了地震危险度图,其中50年内超过危险度的概率分别为2%和10%。研究结果表明,50年超过危险度为2%和10%的基岩地表加速度峰值值分别在0.70 ~ 0.75 g和0.44 ~ 0.48 g之间变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Burdur City
The aim of this study is to assess seismic hazard for Burdur City (SW Turkey) using a probabilistic approach. A new earthquake catalog for Burdur City and its vicinity, with unified moment magnitude scale, was prepared in the scope of the study. Seismicity of the area was evaluated by the Gutenberg-Richter recurrence relationship. For hazard computation, R-CRISIS (v18) software was used. New Generation Attenuation models were used for analyses. Seismic hazard maps were developed for peak ground acceleration and for bedrock with hazard levels of 2% and 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. Results of the study show that peak ground acceleration values on bedrock with hazard levels of 2% and 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years change between 0.70-0.75 g and 0.44-0.48 g, respectively.
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