ENSO和南环模的联系是全球大气振荡的要素

Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.21638/spbu07.2022.404
I. Serykh, D. Sonechkin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于NCEP/NCAR再分析的月平均资料,采用专门开发的技术,研究了1950—2021年与全球大气振荡(GAO)相关的海平面压力(SLP)异常的年际变化。本文计算了El Niño -南方涛动(ENSO)期间SLP异常与GAO年际变率的平均偏差场。结果表明,GAO期间SLP异常的变率除了包含与ENSO相关的模态外,还包含与南极涛动(AAO)相关的年际气候变率模态-南环模态(SAM)。GAO不包括与El Niño和La Niña中太平洋型事件相关的部分SLP异常变率。在所有其他网格节点上,ENSO与GAO的SLP异常的平均偏差场的SLP差异略大于零,在形式上统计上不显著。这意味着在与GAO相关的SLP年际气候变率中,只有两个模态:ENSO和SAM。利用交叉小波分析,研究了ENSO指数与SAM指数之间的关系。这些指数在11年左右的波动周期内呈负相关。通过分析这些指数的时间序列和太阳总辐照度(TSI)的时间序列,可以提出准11年太阳活动和ENSO变化的同步和非同步对ENSO与SAM负相关关系在约11年振荡周期减弱和增强的影响假设。
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Link of ENSO and Southern Annular Mode as elements of Global Atmospheric Oscillation
Based on the monthly average data of NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis, using a specially developed technique, the interannual variability of the sea level pressure (SLP) anomalies associated with the Global Atmospheric Oscillation (GAO) for the period 1950-2021 was studied. The field of mean deviations of the SLP anomalies during the El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from the interannual GAO variability has been calculated. It is shown that the variability of the SLP anomalies during the GAO contains, in addition to the mode associated with the ENSO, also the mode of interannual climatic variability associated with the Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) – the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). It was found that the GAO does not include a part of the SLP anomaly variability associated with El Niño and La Niña events of the Central Pacific type. At all other grid nodes, the field of mean deviations of the SLP anomalies in the ENSO from the GAO has SLP differences slightly different from zero and formally statistically insignificant. This means that in the interannual climatic variability of the SLP associated with the GAO, there are only two modes: ENSO and SAM. With the help of cross-wavelet analysis, the relationships between the ENSO and SAM indices were studied. Negative relationships were found between these indices on fluctuation periods of about 11 years. An analysis of the time series of these indices and the time series of total solar irradiance (TSI) made it possible to put forward a hypothesis about the influence of synchronization and desynchronization of quasi-11-year changes in solar activity and ENSO on the weakening and strengthening of negative relationships between ENSO and SAM at periods of oscillations of about 11 years.
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