新冠肺炎疫情后对区域互联互通和社会经济发展改革的回顾——中东欧国家从中巴经济走廊中学到的经验

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
A. Ullah, Chen Pinglu, Saif Ullah, M. A. Elahi
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文旨在强调中巴两国通过中巴经济走廊实现区域互联互通的互助作用,并展示中欧和东欧国家可以借鉴的经验。中巴经济走廊促进了贸易、外国直接投资、和平和可持续的社会经济发展,有助于缓解新冠肺炎疫情对本地区的影响,促进社会经济发展。在本研究中,我们采用滚动窗口法(滚动移动平均法)对covid -19前后的数据进行分析。通过滚动窗口法和图表趋势,重点分析中巴经济走廊建设前后对巴基斯坦经济的影响。在巴基斯坦,由于中巴经济走廊,贸易、外国直接投资、汇款和证券交易所(PSX)呈现上升趋势。恐怖主义减少,这是和平与社会经济发展的积极迹象。然而,货币贬值加剧,汇率对美元呈上升趋势,国际收支、经常项目赤字、部分出口下降等方面对经济造成严重伤害。为了缓解这些问题,巴基斯坦和中国已经采取措施,在中国和巴基斯坦之间以本币制定贸易。在2019冠状病毒病期间,中国优先提供的医疗设备帮助巴基斯坦抵御了疫情影响,稳定了经济。中巴经济走廊旨在通过形成地方、区域和全球价值链,连接各区域经济区。为应对新冠肺炎疫情影响,建议中东欧国家开展社会经济改革和区域合作。区域一体化与合作是应对这一流行病的关键。中东欧国家可以借鉴中巴经济走廊的经验,发展社会经济,减少暴力,改善经济。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Pre Post-COVID–19 Pandemic Review of Regional Connectivity and Socio-Economic Development Reforms: What Can Be Learned by Central and Eastern European Countries from the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor
This paper aims to highlight the role of mutual assistance of China and Pakistan's regional connectivity through the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and show what lessons can be learned by Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs). CPEC promotes trade, FDI, peace, and sustainable socio-economic development, and it can help to alleviate the effects of COVID-19 in the region to promote socio-economic development. In this study, we employed the Rolling Window Approach (Rolling Moving Average Approach) for data analysis of pre- and post-COVID-19. It also focuses on before and after the CPEC initiative's impact on the Pakistani economy through the Rolling Window Approach and graphical trends. In Pakistan, thanks to CPEC;trade, FDI, remittance, and the stock exchange (PSX) showed an upward shift. Terrorism decreased, which indicates a positive sign for peace and socio-economic development. However, currency depreciation increased, and the exchange rate trend is going up against the dollar, hurting the economy badly in several ways, such as the balance of payment, current account deficit, and lower some exports. To mitigate these issues, Pakistan and China have taken steps as trade formulated in domestic currency between China and Pakistan. During COVID-19, the provision of health care equipment on a priority basis from China helped to combat the COVID-19 effects and stabilize Pakistan's Economy. CPEC is structured to connect regional economic zones by forming local, regional, and global value chains. To cope with the COVID-19 impacts, socio-economic reforms and regional cooperation are suggested for CEECs with a pre-post circumstances review. Regional integration and cooperation are key to coping with this pandemic. CEECs can learn lessons from CPEC for socio-economic development, reducing violence, and improving the economy.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
26
审稿时长
16 weeks
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