Mortensen-Pissarides模型与房地产市场的经验事实

IF 1.3 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Gaetano Lisi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文旨在解释住房市场的主要经验事实,特别是房价与上市时间之间的权衡关系,房价与特定时期内交易的合同数量(即交易量)之间的正相关关系以及价格分散的存在。设计/方法/方法这篇理论论文使用了一个搜索和匹配模型。搜索和匹配确实是房地产市场交易过程的两个基本特征,因此,搜索和匹配模型已经成为房地产市场分析的新经济方法。研究结果表明,Mortensen-Pissarides的基线搜索和匹配模型稍加修改,可以解释房地产市场的主要经验事实。有两个关键机制可以实现这一显著目标:简单形式化(合理)假设,即今天的买家是明天的潜在卖家(反之亦然);市场松紧度与房价之间的直接关系是由标准匹配模型推导出来的,但被相关文献低估了。研究的局限性/启示已建立的理论模型只研究均衡条件。事实上,研究房地产市场的不均衡也会很有趣。对住房市场主要经验事实的解释体现在同一个相对简单的理论模型中。除了解释住房市场的主要经验事实外,所开发的理论模型还可以在住房市场上产生一条向上倾斜的贝弗里奇曲线(寻房者与空置房屋之间的正相关关系)。相反,根据相关文献中最近的一项批评,莫滕森-皮萨里德斯模型内在地产生了一条(在经验上不现实的)向下倾斜的贝弗里奇曲线。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Mortensen-Pissarides model and the empirical facts of housing markets
Purpose This paper aims to explain the main empirical facts of housing markets, notably the trade-off between housing price and time-on-the-market, the positive correlation between housing price and the number of contracts traded during a given period (i.e. the trading volume) and the existence of price dispersion. Design/methodology/approach This theoretical paper makes use of a search and matching model. Search and matching, indeed, are two fundamental characteristics of the trading process in the housing market, and, thus, the search-and-matching models have become the new economic approach to the analysis of real estate markets. Findings This paper shows that a slightly modified version of the baseline search and matching model à la Mortensen-Pissarides can explain the main empirical facts of housing markets. There are two key mechanisms that allow to achieve this notable goal: a simple formalisation of the (reasonable) assumption that buyers today are potential sellers tomorrow (and vice versa); and the direct relationship between market tightness and house price, derived by the standard matching model and underestimated by the related literature. Research limitations/implications The developed theoretical model only studies the equilibrium conditions. Indeed, it would be interesting to also study the disequilibrium in housing markets. Practical implications The explanation of the main empirical facts of housing markets is embodied in the same and relatively simple theoretical model. Originality/value In addition to the explanation of the main empirical facts of housing markets, the developed theoretical model can generate an upward sloping Beveridge curve in the housing market (the positive relation between home-seekers and vacant houses). Instead, according to a recent criticism in the related literature, a model à la Mortensen-Pissarides inherently generates a (empirically unrealistic) downward sloping Beveridge curve.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
7.70%
发文量
18
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