利用机器学习方法建立苏丹经济结构模型

Gaafar E. G. Mustafa, Y. Y. Ahmed, M. Nawari
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引用次数: 1

摘要

经济系统的建模是至关重要的,因为它提供了解决和未来预测经济结果的手段,因此应该开发准确的模型。本研究的目的是展示机器学习方法在经济系统建模中的有效性。苏丹的经济被用来反映这一目标,以国内生产总值(GDP)作为经济的货币衡量标准。根据苏丹1960 - 2016年的GDP数据发现,农业、工业和服务业是苏丹GDP的主要贡献者。在本研究中,使用回归和支持向量机算法来开发两种不同的苏丹经济模型。两种模型都取得了令人满意的预测结果,但支持向量机模型优于多项式回归模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modelling of Sudan’s Economy Composition using Machine Leaming Approaches
Modelling of economy systems is critical as it provides means of addressing and future forecasting of economic outcomes, hence accurate models should be developed. The purpose of this research is to show the effectiveness of Machine Learning approaches in modelling of economy systems. The economy of Sudan is used to reflect this objective, taking the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a monetary measure of economy. It was found that Agriculture, Industry and Service are the main contributors of Sudan’s GDP in accordance to the GDP data of Sudan from 1960 to 2016. In this research, Regression and Support Vector Machine algorithms were used to develop two different models of Sudan’s economy. Both models have produced satisfying results in predicting, however the SVM model has out-performed the Polynomial Regression model.
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