{"title":"关于不止一次地承担倾斜风险","authors":"S. Ebert","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3731565","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper collects results on the repeated risk-taking of skewed risks. An extensive body of theoretical and experimental literature has shown that, in one-time decision situations, humans are skewness-seeking and dislike risks that feature unlikely but large losses (i.e., negatively skewed risks). We show that, contrary to intuition, the often-observed phenomenon of penny-picking—repeatedly taking negatively skewed risks—is not at odds with skewness-seeking, but, to the contrary, may even be caused by it. The skewness of the distribution that results from repeatedly taking a skewed risk depends in non-trivial ways on the risk-taking strategy and may even differ in sign from that of the individual risk. With sufficient time available, every risk—no matter how negatively skewed—can be gambled in such a way that, in total, skewness is positive. Because recent work has shown that skewness is decisive whether risk is taken, this result may be important for economics and finance on a fundamental level.","PeriodicalId":8731,"journal":{"name":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-11-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"On Taking a Skewed Risk More Than Once\",\"authors\":\"S. Ebert\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3731565\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper collects results on the repeated risk-taking of skewed risks. An extensive body of theoretical and experimental literature has shown that, in one-time decision situations, humans are skewness-seeking and dislike risks that feature unlikely but large losses (i.e., negatively skewed risks). We show that, contrary to intuition, the often-observed phenomenon of penny-picking—repeatedly taking negatively skewed risks—is not at odds with skewness-seeking, but, to the contrary, may even be caused by it. The skewness of the distribution that results from repeatedly taking a skewed risk depends in non-trivial ways on the risk-taking strategy and may even differ in sign from that of the individual risk. With sufficient time available, every risk—no matter how negatively skewed—can be gambled in such a way that, in total, skewness is positive. Because recent work has shown that skewness is decisive whether risk is taken, this result may be important for economics and finance on a fundamental level.\",\"PeriodicalId\":8731,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal\",\"volume\":\"39 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-11-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3731565\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Behavioral & Experimental Finance eJournal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3731565","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper collects results on the repeated risk-taking of skewed risks. An extensive body of theoretical and experimental literature has shown that, in one-time decision situations, humans are skewness-seeking and dislike risks that feature unlikely but large losses (i.e., negatively skewed risks). We show that, contrary to intuition, the often-observed phenomenon of penny-picking—repeatedly taking negatively skewed risks—is not at odds with skewness-seeking, but, to the contrary, may even be caused by it. The skewness of the distribution that results from repeatedly taking a skewed risk depends in non-trivial ways on the risk-taking strategy and may even differ in sign from that of the individual risk. With sufficient time available, every risk—no matter how negatively skewed—can be gambled in such a way that, in total, skewness is positive. Because recent work has shown that skewness is decisive whether risk is taken, this result may be important for economics and finance on a fundamental level.