神经网络在链梯预约中的应用

Mario V. Wuthrich
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引用次数: 3

摘要

经典的索赔保留方法作用于所谓的索赔保留三角形,它是汇总的保险组合。经典索赔保留的一个关键假设是,这些聚合的投资组合足够均匀,因此可以应用粗保留算法。我们从这种粗糙的保留方法(在我们的例子中是Mack的链梯方法)开始,并展示了如何使用神经网络对这种方法进行改进,以获取异质性和个人索赔特征信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Neural Networks Applied to Chain-Ladder Reserving
Classical claims reserving methods act on so-called claims reserving triangles which are aggregated insurance portfolios. A crucial assumption in classical claims reserving is that these aggregated portfolios are sufficiently homogeneous so that a coarse reserving algorithm can be applied. We start from such a coarse reserving method, which in our case is Mack's chain-ladder method, and show how this approach can be refined for heterogeneity and individual claims feature information using neural networks.
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