半参数协变量测量误差下的小面积估计

Pub Date : 2022-12-08 DOI:10.1111/anzs.12377
Reyhane Sefidkar, Mahmoud Torabi, Amir Kavousi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,小面积估计在统计学中发挥了重要作用,因为它处理的是在与人口规模相对应的小样本甚至为零的区域中获得感兴趣参数的可靠估计的问题。嵌套误差线性回归模型常用于小面积估计,假设协变量测量无误差,且协变量与响应变量之间呈线性关系。小面积模型也被扩展到线性关系可能不成立的情况下,使用惩罚样条(p样条)回归,但假设协变量的测量没有误差。本文研究了在贝叶斯框架下,假设协变量中存在测量误差,采用p样条回归模型对模型的固定部分建立嵌套误差回归模型。在本文中,我们提出了一种频率论方法来研究一个半参数嵌套误差回归模型,该模型使用带有误差测量协变量的p样条。特别研究了小面积均值的伪经验最佳预测因子及其相应的均方预测误差估计。通过仿真和实际数据应用对该方法的性能进行了评价。我们提出了一种频率论方法来研究一个半参数嵌套误差回归模型,该模型使用带有误差测量协变量的p样条。
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Small area estimation under a semi-parametric covariate measured with error

In recent years, small area estimation has played an important role in statistics as it deals with the problem of obtaining reliable estimates for parameters of interest in areas with small or even zero sample sizes corresponding to population sizes. Nested error linear regression models are often used in small area estimation assuming that the covariates are measured without error and also the relationship between covariates and response variable is linear. Small area models have also been extended to the case in which a linear relationship may not hold, using penalised spline (P-spline) regression, but assuming that the covariates are measured without error. Recently, a nested error regression model using a P-spline regression model, for the fixed part of the model, has been studied assuming the presence of measurement error in covariate, in the Bayesian framework. In this paper, we propose a frequentist approach to study a semi-parametric nested error regression model using P-splines with a covariate measured with error. In particular, the pseudo-empirical best predictors of small area means and their corresponding mean squared prediction error estimates are studied. Performance of the proposed approach is evaluated through a simulation and also by a real data application. We propose a frequentist approach to study a semi-parametric nested error regression model using P-splines with a covariate measured with error.

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