场地恢复:钚扩散事故可归因成本的估算

D. Chanin, W. B. Murfin
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引用次数: 13

摘要

由于在操作中采取了广泛的谨慎措施,核武器事故是极不可能发生的事件。然而,在某些假想的事故条件下,钚可能会扩散到环境中。这将导致政府承担修复该地点和赔偿损失的费用。本研究是对事故后应对的潜在范围进行多学科评估,其中包括技术因素、现行和拟议的法律要求和限制,以及可能影响决策的社会/政治因素。该研究提供了可用于评估假定发生在城市地区、中西部农田、西部牧场和森林的事故的经济成本的参数。使用行业标准方法,对加速和扩展修复的每个区域修复成本进行了估计。对高速公路、机场和市区的快速修复费用进行了评估。已对除高速公路和机场以外的所有土地用途的长期补救费用进行了评估。在风险评估中纳入成本估算,再加上对剂量和健康影响的常规估算,可以更充分地了解事故后的环境。通过对操作方案和设计方案的评估,以及改进事故响应能力的开发,所获得的见解可用于将经济风险降至最低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Site Restoration: Estimation of Attributable Costs From Plutonium-Dispersal Accidents
A nuclear weapons accident is an extremely unlikely event due to the extensive care taken in operations. However, under some hypothetical accident conditions, plutonium might be dispersed to the environment. This would result in costs being incurred by the government to remediate the site and compensate for losses. This study is a multi-disciplinary evaluation of the potential scope of the post-accident response that includes technical factors, current and proposed legal requirements and constraints, as well as social/political factors that could influence decision making. The study provides parameters that can be used to assess economic costs for accidents postulated to occur in urban areas, Midwest farmland, Western rangeland, and forest. Per-area remediation costs have been estimated, using industry-standard methods, for both expedited and extended remediation. Expedited remediation costs have been evaluated for highways, airports, and urban areas. Extended remediation costs have been evaluated for all land uses except highways and airports. The inclusion of cost estimates in risk assessments, together with the conventional estimation of doses and health effects, allows a fuller understanding of the post-accident environment. The insights obtained can be used to minimize economic risks by evaluation of operational and design alternatives, and through development of improved capabilities for accident response.
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