全球经济战中的反俄制裁

IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
A. Lebedev
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引用次数: 2

摘要

文章分析了对俄制裁的宣称目标与实际效果之间的差异。笔者据此提出了一种假设,即俄罗斯在乌克兰的特殊军事行动开始后实施的反俄制裁的真正目的不是为了改变俄罗斯联邦的外交政策,而是通过对俄罗斯联邦造成经济上的损害和破坏国内政治局势的稳定来尽可能地削弱俄罗斯。在这种情况下,将制裁视为“经济战”是合理的,这就提出了这样一场战争的目标、最佳实施方式的选择以及如何将对国民经济的损害降到最低的问题。作者区分了经济战的“防御性”和“进攻性”方法。文章认为,一个成为大规模制裁对象的国家,如果仅仅依靠“防御”机制(例如支持经济的措施),就无法长期成功地抵制制裁。它还必须采取“进攻性”手段,例如,对发起制裁的国家的经济模式的稳定具有关键重要性的货物的出口实行禁运。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Anti-Russian Sanctions in Global Economic Warfare
The article analyzes the discrepancy between the declared goals of sanctions against Russia and their practical effects. The author puts forward a hypothesis according to which the real purpose of the anti-Russian sanctions imposed after the start of Russia's special military operation in Ukraine is not to change the foreign policy of the Russian Federation but to weaken the country as much as possible by causing economic damage to it and destabilizing the domestic political situation. Under these conditions, it is reasonable to consider sanctions as an "economic war," which raises the question of the goals of such a war, the choice of optimal methods for its conduct, and ways to minimize damage to the national economy. The author distinguishes between "defensive" and "offensive" methods of economic warfare. The article argues that a country that has become the object of large-scale sanctions is unable to successfully resist them in the long term, relying solely on "defensive" mechanisms (for example, measures to support the economy). It must resort to "offensive" tools as well, for instance to the embargo for the export of goods that are of key importance for the stability of the economic model of the countries that initiated the sanctions.
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来源期刊
MGIMO Review of International Relations
MGIMO Review of International Relations INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
46
审稿时长
12 weeks
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