支持复杂系统管理决策的数据分析方法

N. Yusupova, O. Smetanina, E. Sazonova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

讨论了基于数据挖掘的复杂系统管理中的组织决策支持问题;此外,还介绍了技术的现状。指出了用于分析的数据的特殊性,以及历史和当前数据的数组。阐述了这一问题,提出了用一组建议组织决策信息支持的方法。提出的方法包括数据的收集和准备、基于对象相似性的聚类识别新知识、与专家知识的集成、知识的形式化和知识库的形成、利用知识和推理引擎获得解决方案。展示了用于数据挖掘的工具,即分析平台演绎工作室。给出了基于该方法的实验研究结果。提出了生产规则系统和推理引擎,用于组织决策支持。在这种情况下,随后的一组规则以打开分支的建议的形式呈现,它显示为几个特征的边界值。边界值由进入聚类的对象的结果确定,并通过使用神经网络设备进行聚类分析来揭示。采用专门开发的软件解决方案,实现基于生产规则系统的解决方案。关键词:数据挖掘,生产规则,Kohonen地图/自组织地图,推理引擎,决策支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Data Analysis Methods for Support Decision Making at Management of Complex Systems
Problems of organizing decision support in the management of complex systems based on data mining are discussed in this article; also, the state of the art is presented. The specificity of data used for analysis is noted, along with the array of historical and current data. The problem is stated, methods for organizing decision-making information support with set of recommendations are proposed. The proposed methodology includes collection and preparation of data for analysis, identification of new knowledge based on similarity of objects using clustering, their integration with expert knowledge, formalization of knowledge and formation of the knowledge base, obtaining solutions while making use of knowledge and inference engine. Tools for data mining, namely, the analytical platform Deductor Studio, are shown. The results of experimental studies based on the proposed method are provided. The system of production rules and the inference engine are proposed to use for organization of decision-making support. In this case, a consequent set of rules is presented in the form of recommendations for opening branch, which is shown as the boundary values of several characteristics. The boundary values are determined by results of an object entering the cluster, which is revealed by conducting cluster analysis using neural network apparatus. The specially developed software solution is used to implement solutions based on the system of production rules. Keywords—Data mining, production rules, Kohonen maps/Self-organizing map, inference engine, decision support.
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