20世纪中叶以来克里米亚复杂生物气候指标的变化

Q3 Social Sciences
Anna A. Stefanovich, E. Voskresenskaya
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引用次数: 1

摘要

背景:观测到的全球气候变化对克里米亚半岛区域气候异常和休闲条件有显著影响。目的:研究克里米亚境内复杂的生物气候指标在几十年(~70年)内的变化特征,特别关注一年中的每个月,并根据所得结果显示与这些变化相关的娱乐活动发展的可能方式。方法:为了进行计算,我们使用了欧洲气象站网络E-OBS (v. 17.0)中22个站点的观测档案和NCEP/NCAR R1再分析中1950 - 2018年期间每个月的每日水文气象数据。根据2005年至2018年克里米亚标准日站观测数据的开放数据库对获得的阵列进行了验证。为了评估气候变化对人体的影响,计算了等效有效温度、正常等效有效温度、空气中氧的重量含量(偏氧密度)(O2)、湿风寒指数Hill (Hw)和干风寒指数Bodmann (S)。分析了克里米亚半岛每个月的线性趋势特征。结果:月度生物气候指标趋势分析显示,在某些季节,休闲舒适性增加或减少。从冬季到春季,克里米亚上空的正常等效有效温度趋势最为明显。这表明近几十年来复杂的娱乐条件有所改善,并且有可能延长假日季节的持续时间。pO2、Hw和S指数全年(12月除外)走势相反。根据pO2指数,在8月至10月期间,克里米亚可能会出现生理性缺氧。12月,克里米亚大草原上多风和不舒服的生物气候条件往往会增加。结论:通过本研究揭示的生物气候指标的变化模式可以作为在克里米亚境内有效组织和开展娱乐活动的调节因素,从而确保娱乐期的持续时间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Changes in complex bioclimatic indicators in Crimea since the middle of the 20th century
BACKGROUND: Observed global climate changes can significantly influence on the regional climate anomalies and recreational conditions over the Crimean peninsula. AIM: To study the features of complex bioclimatic indicators changes on the territory of Crimea over a multidecadal period (~70 years), paying special attention to each month of the year, and on bases of obtained results to show the possible way of recreational activities development associated with these changes. METHODS: For calculations, we used daily hydrometeorological data for each month from the archive of observations at the network of European weather stations E-OBS (v. 17.0) from 22 stations and NCEP/NCAR R1 reanalysis for the period of 19502018. The obtained arrays were verified in accordance with an open database of standard daily station observations in Crimea in 20052018. To assess the impact of climate change on the human body, the equivalent effective temperature, normal equivalent effective temperature, weight content of oxygen in the air (partial oxygen density) (O2), wet wind chill index Hill (Hw) and index Bodmann dry wind chiller (S) were calculated. The features of their linear trends for each month in the Crimean Peninsula were analysed. RESULTS: Monthwise analyses of the bioclimatic indicator trends demonstrated an increase or decrease in recreational comfort in certain seasons. The most pronounced positive normal equivalent effective temperature trends over Crimea were observed from winter to spring. This indicated improved complex recreational conditions in recent decades and the possibility to extend the duration of the holiday season. The pO2, Hw and S indices had opposite tendencies throughout the year (except for December). According to the pO2 index, in the period from August to October, a physiological oxygen deficiency may be experienced throughout Crimea. Windy and uncomfortable bioclimatic conditions tend to increase in the steppes of Crimea in December. CONCLUSION: The patterns of changes in bioclimatic indicators revealed through this study can be used as a regulatory factor for effectively organising and conducting recreational activities in the territory of Crimea and thus ensure the duration of the recreational period.
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来源期刊
Ekologiya Cheloveka (Human Ecology)
Ekologiya Cheloveka (Human Ecology) Medicine-Medicine (all)
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
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62
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