Владимир Михајловић, Гордана Марјановић
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引用次数: 0

摘要

稳定经济活动是宏观经济政策的基本目的。在过去几年中,根据所谓的新共识宏观经济学的建议,实现价格稳定,或相对较低和稳定的通货膨胀率,已被作为政策的主要目标。与此相一致的是,确定决定通货膨胀率并导致其变化的变量是至关重要的。从它的发生,菲利普斯曲线的关系提供了一个基于不同因素的运动的暴胀动力学的解释,这取决于所观察到的曲线的变化。因此,本文的主题是在有效稳定政策应用的背景下介绍和评价菲利普斯曲线的当代概念。本文的主要目的是重新考虑这一概念的有效性,特别是在严重的经济失调的情况下,如大衰退。应用分析表明,占主导地位的新凯恩斯主义菲利普斯曲线概念,如果辅以财政政策和金融稳定政策的变量,可以为经济政策的成功实施服务。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
САВРЕМЕНИ КОНЦЕПТИ ФИЛИПСОВЕ КРИВЕ И СТАБИЛИЗАЦИОНА МАКРОЕКОНОМСКА ПОЛИТИКА
The stabilization of economic activity represents the basic purpose of macroeconomic policy. In the last few years, the achievement of price stability, or the relatively low and stable inflation rate, has been imposed as the policy’s main goal, in accordance with the recommendations of the so-called New consensus macroeconomics. In line with that, the identification of variables, which determine the inflation rate and cause its changes, is crucial. From its occurrence, the relationship of the Phillips curve provided an explanation of the inflation dynamics based on the movement of different factors, depending on the variant of the curve observed. Hence, the subject of the paper is the presentation and evaluation of the contemporary concepts of the Phillips curve in the context of the application of the efficient stabilization policy. The main objective of the paper is to reconsider the concept’s validity, especially in the conditions of serious economic disorders, such as the Great Recession. The applied analysis indicates that the dominant New Keynesian concept of the Phillips curve can serve for the successful conducting of economic policy, if it is supplemented with the variables of fiscal policy and financial stability policy.
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