Cost and performance sensitivity studies for solar photovoltaic/electrolytic hydrogen systems

In previous work, we have investigated the implications of projected advances in thin film solar cell technology for producing electrolytic hydrogen from photovoltaic (PV) electricity. These studies indicate that if year 2000 cost and efficiency goals for thin film solar cells are achieved, PV hydrogen produced in the Southwestern U.S. could become roughly cost competitive with other synthetic fuels for applications such as automotive transport and residential heating, if efficient energy use is stressed. This suggests that PV hydrogen could potentially play a significant role in future energy supply.

However, the estimated production cost of PV hydrogen depends on the cost and performance parameters assumed for the PV hydrogen system. In this paper we investigate the sensitivity of PV hydrogen production costs to changes in the system parameters and identify key conditions for low cost PV hydrogen production.