塞内加尔COVID-19社区传播的Logistic增长模型和因素建模

IF 1.7 4区医学 Q3 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES

Journal of Healthcare Management Pub Date : 2021-08-29 DOI:10.36959/569/468

Diouf Massamba, Ndiaye Babacar Mbaye, Dieng Amadou

{"title":"塞内加尔COVID-19社区传播的Logistic增长模型和因素建模","authors":"Diouf Massamba, Ndiaye Babacar Mbaye, Dieng Amadou","doi":"10.36959/569/468","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The size will be approximately 5100 ± 130 cases. The discrepancy of actual and forecasted number of cases is within 3%. However, actual and predicted daily new cases are scattered and vary between 26% to 600%. Prediction is cumulative 3993 cases and 29 daily cases. The errors are 7.413% and 48.276% for cumulative and daily cases, respectively.","PeriodicalId":51633,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Healthcare Management","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2021-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Logistic Growth Model and Modeling of Factors for Community Transmission of COVID-19 in Senegal\",\"authors\":\"Diouf Massamba, Ndiaye Babacar Mbaye, Dieng Amadou\",\"doi\":\"10.36959/569/468\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The size will be approximately 5100 ± 130 cases. The discrepancy of actual and forecasted number of cases is within 3%. However, actual and predicted daily new cases are scattered and vary between 26% to 600%. Prediction is cumulative 3993 cases and 29 daily cases. The errors are 7.413% and 48.276% for cumulative and daily cases, respectively.\",\"PeriodicalId\":51633,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Healthcare Management\",\"volume\":\"20 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-08-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Healthcare Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.36959/569/468\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Healthcare Management","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.36959/569/468","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

尺寸约为5100±130箱。实际病例数与预测病例数的差异在3%以内。然而，实际和预测的每日新病例是分散的，在26%到600%之间变化。预测累计3993例，每日29例。累积病例和日病例的误差分别为7.413%和48.276%。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Logistic Growth Model and Modeling of Factors for Community Transmission of COVID-19 in Senegal

The size will be approximately 5100 ± 130 cases. The discrepancy of actual and forecasted number of cases is within 3%. However, actual and predicted daily new cases are scattered and vary between 26% to 600%. Prediction is cumulative 3993 cases and 29 daily cases. The errors are 7.413% and 48.276% for cumulative and daily cases, respectively.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Journal of Healthcare Management HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES-

CiteScore

2.00

自引率

5.60%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Healthcare Management is the official journal of the American College of Healthcare Executives. Six times per year, JHM offers timely healthcare management articles that inform and guide executives, managers, educators, and researchers. JHM also contains regular columns written by experts and practitioners in the field that discuss management-related topics and industry trends. Each issue presents an interview with a leading executive.