2011年阿拉伯起义:中东极端主义的出现及其地区后果

M. Hussain, Muhammad Kashif
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2011年是北非和中东著名的一年,阿拉伯起义在一些重要国家爆发;埃及、突尼斯、巴林和叙利亚等。经过三年的阿拉伯起义,没有一个国家拥有稳定的政治制度、民主与和平。埃及处于军事统治之下,民选总统身陷囹圄。叙利亚和伊拉克正在遭受严重的内战,并面临着以ISIS形式出现的极端主义浪潮的巨大挑战。这项研究表明,伊朗正在增强其在该地区的政治实力。在萨达姆政权和什叶派政权倒台后,伊拉克在该地区的势力得到了加强。伊拉克正因国家失败或解体而挣扎求生。如果这样做,什叶派种族和ISIS因素将发挥相当大的作用。ISIS的因素也将影响沙特的外交政策,处理该地区的逊尼派群体以及与美国的关系。目前的局势也将影响土耳其、以色列、黎巴嫩、也门以及巴基斯坦在南亚的行动方针。也门和巴基斯坦社会也在与极端主义作斗争,巴基斯坦极端主义组织表现出他们的共同联系,他们对伊拉克的ISIS提供了大量和持续的支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Arab Uprising 2011: Emergence of Extremism in Middle East and Its Regional Consequences
Year 2011 was a renowned year in the Northern Africa and Middle East when Arab uprising rose in the remarkably important countries; Egypt, Tunisia, Bahrain, and Syria etc. After three years of Arab uprising, there is not a single country that has stable political system, democracy or peace. Egypt is under the military rule and elected president is behind bars. Syria and Iraq are suffering from severe civil war and there is a huge challenge of emerging wave of extremism in the form of ISIS. This research shows that Iran is increasing its political strength in the region. It has improved its regional muscle after plunge of Saddam government and Shiite government thereafter. Iraq is struggling for survival from state failure or disintegration. If it does so, there would be a considerable role of Shiite ethnicity and ISIS factor would also be substantial. ISIS factor will also impact on Saudi foreign policy, dealing with Sunni ethnic groups in the region and relations with the U.S.A. Current situation will also impact on courses of action by Turkey, Israel, Lebanon, Yemen and also Pakistan in South Asia. Yemen and Pakistani societies are also struggling against extremism and Pakistani extremist groups showed their common ties, their substantial and sustained support to ISIS in Iraq.
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