经济制裁对伊朗农业部门和欧盟商业伙伴贸易量的影响

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
S. Y. Zeraatkish, Z. Farahmand
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在国际贸易制裁期间,伊朗经济受到压力。本文研究了2001 - 2015年经济制裁对伊朗与欧盟十个主要贸易伙伴双边农业贸易的影响。修正的重力模型被用作国际贸易的实证模型,面板数据被用于调查制裁的影响。发现/独创性:在没有制裁的情况下,除人口外,所有自变量的影响都符合理论的预期。在制裁条件下,GDP和人口的影响低于没有制裁条件下的影响。在制裁期间,由于金融领域的不稳定,外汇波动的影响更加强烈。然而,距离并不是一个重要的变量来解释双边贸易在缺席和制裁下。在弱制裁时期,双边贸易额下降了7.5%,但在强制裁时期,双边贸易额出人意料地上升了12%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The effect of economic sanctions on the volume of trade in the agriculture sector of Iran and business partners in the EU
Iranian economy was under pressured during the period of international trade sanctions. This paper investigates the effect of the economic sanctions on the bilateral agriculture trade of Iran with ten main trading partners in European Union between 2001 to 2015. A modified gravity model is used as an empirical international trading model and panel data are used for investigating the effect of sanctions. Findings/Originality : In the absence of sanction, the effect of all independent variables, except for population, is as expected by the theory. Under the sanction the effect of GDP and population is lower than those of without sanction. The effect of foreign exchange fluctuation gets more intense during the sanction due to instability of financial sector. Distance, however, is not a significant variable to explain the bilateral trade both in the absence and under the sanction. The weak sanction period lowered the bilateral trade by 7.5 percent lower, but unexpectedly it was 12 percent higher during the strong sanction period.
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自引率
20.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
12 weeks
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