高维仿射不变系综采样器“拉伸移动”的性质

IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
David Huijser, Jesse Goodman, Brendon J. Brewer
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引用次数: 6

摘要

给出了仿射不变集合采样器马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法的理论和实际性质。在高维中,采样器的“拉伸移动”具有不寻常和不受欢迎的特性。我们用一个已知均值和协方差结构的n维相关高斯玩具问题和一个多变量版本的Rosenbrock问题来证明这一点。目视检查痕迹图表明烧蚀期很短。经过仔细检查,我们发现目标分布的均值和方差与已知值不匹配,并且链需要很长时间才能收敛。当n大于50时,这个问题变得更加严重。我们还应用了适用于集成方法的不同诊断方法来确定是否缺乏收敛性。诊断方法包括Gelman-Rubin法、海德堡-韦尔奇检验、综合自相关和接受率。单个步行者的轨迹图似乎也很有用。因此,我们得出结论,拉伸移动应谨慎使用中至高维。我们还提出了一些启发式结果来解释这种行为。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Properties of the affine-invariant ensemble sampler's ‘stretch move’ in high dimensions

We present theoretical and practical properties of the affine-invariant ensemble sampler Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. In high dimensions, the sampler's ‘stretch move’ has unusual and undesirable properties. We demonstrate this with an n-dimensional correlated Gaussian toy problem with a known mean and covariance structure, and a multivariate version of the Rosenbrock problem. Visual inspection of a trace plots suggests the burn-in period is short. Upon closer inspection, we discover the mean and the variance of the target distribution do not match the known values, and the chain takes a very long time to converge. This problem becomes severe as n increases beyond 50. We also applied different diagnostics adapted to be applicable to ensemble methods to determine any lack of convergence. The diagnostics include the Gelman–Rubin method, the Heidelberger–Welch test, the integrated autocorrelation and the acceptance rate. The trace plot of individual walkers appears to be useful as well. We therefore conclude that the stretch move should be used with caution in moderate to high dimensions. We also present some heuristic results explaining this behaviour.

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来源期刊
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
9.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics is an international journal managed jointly by the Statistical Society of Australia and the New Zealand Statistical Association. Its purpose is to report significant and novel contributions in statistics, ranging across articles on statistical theory, methodology, applications and computing. The journal has a particular focus on statistical techniques that can be readily applied to real-world problems, and on application papers with an Australasian emphasis. Outstanding articles submitted to the journal may be selected as Discussion Papers, to be read at a meeting of either the Statistical Society of Australia or the New Zealand Statistical Association. The main body of the journal is divided into three sections. The Theory and Methods Section publishes papers containing original contributions to the theory and methodology of statistics, econometrics and probability, and seeks papers motivated by a real problem and which demonstrate the proposed theory or methodology in that situation. There is a strong preference for papers motivated by, and illustrated with, real data. The Applications Section publishes papers demonstrating applications of statistical techniques to problems faced by users of statistics in the sciences, government and industry. A particular focus is the application of newly developed statistical methodology to real data and the demonstration of better use of established statistical methodology in an area of application. It seeks to aid teachers of statistics by placing statistical methods in context. The Statistical Computing Section publishes papers containing new algorithms, code snippets, or software descriptions (for open source software only) which enhance the field through the application of computing. Preference is given to papers featuring publically available code and/or data, and to those motivated by statistical methods for practical problems.
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