水电站水库防洪调度极端流量时间序列的平稳性

Priscilla Dafne Chan, F. Costa, J. M. Damázio, O. Filho
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引用次数: 0

摘要

DOI: 10.12957/cadest.2019.50174巴西电力部门通过在雨季保留水电水库的空容量来考虑在运行中预防洪水。目前使用的洪水控制方法假设巴西国家操作系统(NOS/ONS)计算的归化日流量记录具有季节性平稳性。考虑到气候和/或土地利用和占用的变化可能会改变水文状况,本文研究了位于巴拉那河流域的水电站与洪水事件相容的最大年流量时间序列的平稳性。关键词:统计检验,极端流量时间序列平稳性,水电,防洪研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
STATIONARITY OF EXTREME STREAMFLOW TIME SERIES FOR FLOOD CONTROL OPERATION IN HYDROPOWER RESERVOIRS
DOI: 10.12957/cadest.2019.50174 The Brazilian Power Sector consider flood prevention in the operation by reserving during the rainy season empty volumes in its hydropower reservoirs. The currently used flood control methodology assumes seasonal stationarity for the naturalized daily streamflow records calculated by the Brazilian National Operator System (NOS/ONS). Considering that climatic and/or land uses and occupation changes may be altering hydrological regime, this article investigates the stationarity of maximum annual streamflow time series of duration compatible with flood events at the hydropower plants located in the Parana river basin. Keywords : Statistical Tests, Extreme Streamflow Time Series Stationarity, Hydropower, Flood Control Studies.
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