气候变化对尼泊尔nawalparasi (b.s.w)地区小麦生产的影响

Bibhor Gauli, M. Karki, D. Poudel, S. Poudel, Apil Chhetri
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引用次数: 1

摘要

调查研究在Nawalparasi (B.S.W)地区进行,以评估农民对气候变化的看法以及气候变化对小麦生产的影响。该调查在四个市(农村直辖市)进行。共有83名受访者参与了本研究。通过问卷调查、直接观察、焦点小组讨论等方式收集一手资料,并从不同来源收集小麦面积、产量和生产力等二次资料。大多数受访者(90.4%)对气候变化有所了解,而9.4%的受访者不了解气候变化。此外,在提到温度、降雨持续时间、降雨量、露水和冬季季风变化的受访者中,分别有95.2%、91.9%、92.4%、94%和90.3%的人认为是这些因素导致了小麦产量的变化。此外,t检验和probit模型分析表明,气候变化对Nawalparsi(B.S.W)地区小麦生产的影响较大,且影响呈逐年增加的趋势。因此,政府和决策者应通过深入研究和推广一揽子计划,重点关注制定作物种植的气候适应型战略。应鼓励采用减少气候变化影响的技术,以获得最佳小麦产量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON WHEAT PRODUCTION IN NAWALPARASI (B.S.W) DISTRICT, NEPAL
Survey research was conducted in Nawalparasi (B.S.W) district to assess farmers’ perception on climate change and the impact of climate change in wheat production. The survey was conducted in four municipalities (rural municipality). A total of 83 respondents were involved in this study. The primary data were collected through survey questionnaire, direct observation, focus group discussion, whereas secondary data on wheat area, production and productivity from different sources were also collected. The majority of the respondents (90.4%) perceived about climate change while 9.4% respondents were not aware about climate change. Furthermore, out of the respondents mentioning changes in temperature, rainfall duration, rainfall amount, dew and winter monsoon around 95.2%, 91.9%, 92.4%, 94% and 90.3% of them opinionated that there were changes in wheat production because of these factors respectively. Moreover, t-test and probit model analysis showed that there was great impact of climate change in wheat production and impact is increasing yearly in Nawalparsi(B.S.W) district. So, Government and policymakers should focus on climate resilient adaptation strategies formulation for crop cultivation through intensive research and extension packages. Adoption of technology to reduce the impact of climate change should be encouraged to gain optimum wheat production.
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