混合Mirra治愈率模型的生存和危险曲线估计:在胃癌和乳腺癌数据中的应用

Marcos Vinicius de Oliveira Peres, F. D. dos Santos, Ricado Puziol de Oliveira
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在与时间到事件数据相关的许多应用中,特别是在医疗领域,通常存在一小部分不期望经历感兴趣事件的个体,这些个体对该事件免疫或在研究期间治愈了该疾病,这些个体被称为长期幸存者。在这种情况下,通常使用威布尔治愈率模型来估计生存和危险曲线,因为它具有很大的灵活性和简单性。在本文中,我们提出了使用经典治愈率方法的Mirra模型的扩展并将其应用于胃癌和乳腺癌数据的生存和危险曲线的估计。使用贝叶斯方法获得感兴趣的推论,本研究的结果表明Mirra模型具有良好的拟合性,可以作为长期幸存者,特别是癌症数据的生存和危险曲线的估计和形状预测的有用替代方案。结果可以用回归方法进行扩展,以确定影响生存概率的危险因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of survival and hazard curves of mixture Mirra cure rate model: Application to gastric and breast cancer data
In many applications related to time to event data, especially in the medical field, it is common the presence of a fraction of individuals not expecting to experience the event of interest, these individuals immune to the event or cured for the disease during the study are known as long–term survivors. To estimate survival and hazard curves, in this situation, it is common the use of Weibull cure rate model due to its great flexibility and simplicity. In this paper, we present the estimation of survival and hazard curves using a extension of Mirra model using the classical cure rate approach and applying it to gastric and breast cancer data. The inferences of interest were obtained using a Bayesian approach and the results achieved from this study showed that the Mirra model has a good fit and could be an useful alternative for estimation and shape prediction of survival and hazard curves for long– term survivors, especially for cancer data. The results could be extended using regression approach in order to identify risk factor that affects the survival probability.
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