{"title":"肿瘤筛查关键参数估算及预估时间研究进展","authors":"Ruiqi Liu, J. Gaskins, Riten Mitra, Dongfeng Wu","doi":"10.15446/RCE.V40N2.60642","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Early detection combined with effective treatments are the only ways to fight against cancer, and cancer screening is the primary technique for early detection. Although mass cancer screening has been carried out for decades, there are many unsolved problems, and the statistical theory of cancer screening is still under developed. Screening sensitivity, time duration in the preclinical state, and time duration in the disease free state are the three key parameters, which are critical in cancer screening, since all other estimates are functions of the three key parameters. Lead time is the diagnosis time advanced by screening, and it serves as a measurement of effectiveness of screening programs. In this article, we provide a review for major probability models and statistical methodologies that have been developed on the estimation of the three key parameters and the lead time distributions. These methods can be applied to screening of other chronic diseases after slight modifications.","PeriodicalId":54477,"journal":{"name":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","volume":"1 1","pages":"263-278"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Review of Estimation of Key Parameters and Lead Time in Cancer Screening\",\"authors\":\"Ruiqi Liu, J. Gaskins, Riten Mitra, Dongfeng Wu\",\"doi\":\"10.15446/RCE.V40N2.60642\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Early detection combined with effective treatments are the only ways to fight against cancer, and cancer screening is the primary technique for early detection. Although mass cancer screening has been carried out for decades, there are many unsolved problems, and the statistical theory of cancer screening is still under developed. Screening sensitivity, time duration in the preclinical state, and time duration in the disease free state are the three key parameters, which are critical in cancer screening, since all other estimates are functions of the three key parameters. Lead time is the diagnosis time advanced by screening, and it serves as a measurement of effectiveness of screening programs. In this article, we provide a review for major probability models and statistical methodologies that have been developed on the estimation of the three key parameters and the lead time distributions. These methods can be applied to screening of other chronic diseases after slight modifications.\",\"PeriodicalId\":54477,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"263-278\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.15446/RCE.V40N2.60642\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Revista Colombiana De Estadistica","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.15446/RCE.V40N2.60642","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
A Review of Estimation of Key Parameters and Lead Time in Cancer Screening
Early detection combined with effective treatments are the only ways to fight against cancer, and cancer screening is the primary technique for early detection. Although mass cancer screening has been carried out for decades, there are many unsolved problems, and the statistical theory of cancer screening is still under developed. Screening sensitivity, time duration in the preclinical state, and time duration in the disease free state are the three key parameters, which are critical in cancer screening, since all other estimates are functions of the three key parameters. Lead time is the diagnosis time advanced by screening, and it serves as a measurement of effectiveness of screening programs. In this article, we provide a review for major probability models and statistical methodologies that have been developed on the estimation of the three key parameters and the lead time distributions. These methods can be applied to screening of other chronic diseases after slight modifications.
期刊介绍:
The Colombian Journal of Statistics publishes original articles of theoretical, methodological and educational kind in any branch of Statistics. Purely theoretical papers should include illustration of the techniques presented with real data or at least simulation experiments in order to verify the usefulness of the contents presented. Informative articles of high quality methodologies or statistical techniques applied in different fields of knowledge are also considered. Only articles in English language are considered for publication.
The Editorial Committee assumes that the works submitted for evaluation
have not been previously published and are not being given simultaneously for publication elsewhere, and will not be without prior consent of the Committee, unless, as a result of the assessment, decides not publish in the journal. It is further assumed that when the authors deliver a document for publication in the Colombian Journal of Statistics, they know the above conditions and agree with them.