2018年宾夕法尼亚州中期选举

IF 0.6 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE

COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI:10.15367/com.v22i1.639

Berwood A. Yost, Jackie Redman

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文使用选举前调查、选举后调查、选民登记和选举数据来解释2018年宾夕法尼亚州州长、美国参议院和美国众议院中期选举的结果。这一分析表明，2018年宾夕法尼亚州中期选举的结果被国有化了。对总统表现的感受推动了选民的兴趣和投票率，也影响了选民在州长、参议院和众议院选举中做出的选择。每次竞选中的选民偏好都遵循同样的模式:即使考虑到党派和意识形态，那些对特朗普总统表现不满的人也更有可能投票给民主党候选人。结果表明，2018年的中期选举结果是对特朗普总统任期的否定，而不是回归到2016年之前的政治。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The 2018 Pennsylvania Midterm Election

This article uses pre-election survey, post-election survey, voter registration, and election data to interpret the outcomes of the 2018 midterm elections for governor, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House of Representatives in Pennsylvania. This analysis shows that the results of the 2018 midterm races in Pennsylvania were nationalized. Feelings about the president’s performance drove voter interest and turnout, and also factored into the choices that voters made in the gubernatorial, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House races. Voter preferences in each race followed the same pattern: even after accounting for partisanship and ideology, those who were dissatisfied with President Trump’s performance were more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate. The results suggest that the 2018 midterm results were a repudiation of the Trump presidency, but not a return to the state’s pre-2016 politics.

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来源期刊

COMMONWEALTH & COMPARATIVE POLITICS POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

1.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Long established as the leading publication in its field, the journal of Commonwealth and Comparative Politics contains scholarly articles which both report original research on the politics of Commonwealth countries and relate their findings to issues of general significance for students of comparative politics. The journal also publishes work on the politics of other states where such work is of interest for comparative politics generally or where it enables comparisons to be made with Commonwealth countries.