{"title":"橙色适形预测","authors":"Tomaz Hocevar, B. Zupan, Jonna C. Stålring","doi":"10.18637/jss.v098.i07","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Conformal predictors estimate the reliability of outcomes made by supervised machine learning models. Instead of a point value, conformal prediction defines an outcome region that meets a user-specified reliability threshold. Provided that the data are independently and identically distributed, the user can control the level of the prediction errors and adjust it following the requirements of a given application. The quality of conformal predictions often depends on the choice of nonconformity estimate for a given machine learning method. To promote the selection of a successful approach, we have developed Orange3-Conformal, a Python library that provides a range of conformal prediction methods for classification and regression. The library also implements several nonconformity scores. It has a modular design and can be extended to add new conformal prediction methods and nonconformities.","PeriodicalId":17237,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Software","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4000,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Conformal Prediction with Orange\",\"authors\":\"Tomaz Hocevar, B. Zupan, Jonna C. Stålring\",\"doi\":\"10.18637/jss.v098.i07\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Conformal predictors estimate the reliability of outcomes made by supervised machine learning models. Instead of a point value, conformal prediction defines an outcome region that meets a user-specified reliability threshold. Provided that the data are independently and identically distributed, the user can control the level of the prediction errors and adjust it following the requirements of a given application. The quality of conformal predictions often depends on the choice of nonconformity estimate for a given machine learning method. To promote the selection of a successful approach, we have developed Orange3-Conformal, a Python library that provides a range of conformal prediction methods for classification and regression. The library also implements several nonconformity scores. It has a modular design and can be extended to add new conformal prediction methods and nonconformities.\",\"PeriodicalId\":17237,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Statistical Software\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Statistical Software\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v098.i07\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Statistical Software","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v098.i07","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Conformal predictors estimate the reliability of outcomes made by supervised machine learning models. Instead of a point value, conformal prediction defines an outcome region that meets a user-specified reliability threshold. Provided that the data are independently and identically distributed, the user can control the level of the prediction errors and adjust it following the requirements of a given application. The quality of conformal predictions often depends on the choice of nonconformity estimate for a given machine learning method. To promote the selection of a successful approach, we have developed Orange3-Conformal, a Python library that provides a range of conformal prediction methods for classification and regression. The library also implements several nonconformity scores. It has a modular design and can be extended to add new conformal prediction methods and nonconformities.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Statistical Software (JSS) publishes open-source software and corresponding reproducible articles discussing all aspects of the design, implementation, documentation, application, evaluation, comparison, maintainance and distribution of software dedicated to improvement of state-of-the-art in statistical computing in all areas of empirical research. Open-source code and articles are jointly reviewed and published in this journal and should be accessible to a broad community of practitioners, teachers, and researchers in the field of statistics.