尼日利亚冠状病毒袭击的部门分析:经验诊断和一些政策影响

IF 1.7 Q3 MANAGEMENT
A. Orji, Ezra Ihezie, Jonathan E. Ogbuabor, Onyinye I. Anthony‐Orji
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引用次数: 1

摘要

最近,尼日利亚冠状病毒的严重和极端后果令人震惊。在过去几个月里,政府采取了各种措施,推出了某些政策,即使不能消除这种新型病毒在尼日利亚爆发所造成的社会经济影响,也有助于减少这种影响。该研究利用第一次严重封锁期间(2020年2月27日至2020年5月17日)81天的每日时间序列数据分析,研究了COVID - 19对尼日利亚经济状况的影响。研究中使用的数据来自二手来源:NCDC报告、CBN报告、尼日利亚证券交易所报告、Accuweather报告和彭博社在研究期间的报告。数据分析采用普通最小二乘回归结合相关检验。研究发现,每日确诊病例和每日外汇汇率对反映每日产出增长的每日油价具有显著的负向影响,而每日股价指数具有正向影响。只有日温度报告在模型中不显著但为正。该研究建议尼日利亚人应该严格遵守尼日利亚疾病控制中心(NCDC)根据世界卫生组织(WHO)的建议规定的预防指南。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SECTORAL ANALYSIS OF CORONA VIRUS ATTACK IN NIGERIA: AN EMPIRICAL DIAGNOSIS AND SOME POLICY IMPLICATIONS
Recently the depth and extreme consequences of coronavirus in Nigeria have been alarming. In the last few months, the government has undertaken various steps by introducing certain policies that would help in reducing, if not eradicating the socio-economic implications of this novel virus outbreak in Nigeria. The study examines the implications of COVID 19 on the economic status of Nigeria using a daily time series data analysis for eighty-one days during the first heavy lockdown (27th February 2020 to 17th May 2020). The data used for the study were extracted from secondary sources: the NCDC reports, CBN reports, Nigeria Stock Exchange reports, Accuweather reports, and Bloomberg within the period of the study. The data was analyzed using the ordinary least square regression incorporating the correlation test. The study found that daily COVID 19 confirmed cases and daily FOREX rates have a negative and significant impact on daily oil price, a mirror of daily output growth whereas daily share index has a positive impact. Only the daily temperature report was insignificant but positive in the model. The study recommended that Nigerians should strongly adhere to the preventive guidelines as stipulated by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) in line with World Health Organisation (WHO) recommendations.
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CiteScore
4.20
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