{"title":"违约前的金融危机成本有多大?来自动态模型的估计","authors":"Redouane Elkamhi, M. Salerno","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3553063","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We estimate the costs of financial distress prior to default (pre-default costs) separately from the loss incurred at default (the loss given default) using a dynamic trade-off model of capital structure. We document that pre-default costs are on average equal to 6.5% of firm value per year. We show that pre-default costs account for a large fraction of total distress costs, approximately 68.5%. Last, we show that the expected pre-default costs of financial distress vary significantly across industries with a range between 3.75% and 8.75%, and are higher for firms with highly tangible assets.","PeriodicalId":11410,"journal":{"name":"Econometric Modeling: Capital Markets - Risk eJournal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"How large are Pre-Default Costs of Financial Distress? Estimates from a Dynamic Model\",\"authors\":\"Redouane Elkamhi, M. Salerno\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3553063\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We estimate the costs of financial distress prior to default (pre-default costs) separately from the loss incurred at default (the loss given default) using a dynamic trade-off model of capital structure. We document that pre-default costs are on average equal to 6.5% of firm value per year. We show that pre-default costs account for a large fraction of total distress costs, approximately 68.5%. Last, we show that the expected pre-default costs of financial distress vary significantly across industries with a range between 3.75% and 8.75%, and are higher for firms with highly tangible assets.\",\"PeriodicalId\":11410,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Econometric Modeling: Capital Markets - Risk eJournal\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-02-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Econometric Modeling: Capital Markets - Risk eJournal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3553063\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Econometric Modeling: Capital Markets - Risk eJournal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3553063","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
How large are Pre-Default Costs of Financial Distress? Estimates from a Dynamic Model
We estimate the costs of financial distress prior to default (pre-default costs) separately from the loss incurred at default (the loss given default) using a dynamic trade-off model of capital structure. We document that pre-default costs are on average equal to 6.5% of firm value per year. We show that pre-default costs account for a large fraction of total distress costs, approximately 68.5%. Last, we show that the expected pre-default costs of financial distress vary significantly across industries with a range between 3.75% and 8.75%, and are higher for firms with highly tangible assets.