新冠肺炎疫情蔓延后五大GDP持有国股市的国际经济联系分解

IF 0.1 Q4 MANAGEMENT
Priyanka, Gurpreet Kaur
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的蔓延对全球金融市场产生了巨大影响。它创造了前所未有的风险水平,导致投资者在此期间遭受短期损失。因此,本文试图研究大流行期间印度股票市场与选定国家股票市场之间的国际经济联系。设计/方法/方法:通过收集2020年2月1日至2021年3月31日期间的每日收盘指数数据,完成了本研究的目标。根据国际货币基金组织2020年世界经济展望报告,所选国家即美国、中国、日本、德国和印度是GDP排名前五的国家。采用Johansen协整检验、向量误差修正法、格兰杰因果检验、方差分解和脉冲响应检验对结果进行进一步分析。研究发现:研究结果表明,印度股市长期与其他发达国家股市共整合,与美国、日本和德国股指存在显著的单向关系。结果表明,其他国家的投资者仍有进行投资组合多样化的空间。独创性/价值:该研究对疫情期间gdp排名前五的国家的经济相互联系以及对其他国家投资者投资组合多样化的影响提供了独特的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Decomposition of international economic linkages among top five GDP holder countries’ stock markets after the spread of Covid-19
Purpose: The spread of COVID-19 has a dramatic impact on financial markets across all over the world. It has created an unprecedented level of risk, resultant in short term losses to investors during this period. Therefore, this paper is an attempt to investigate the international economic linkages between the Indian stock market and stock markets of selected countries during the pandemic period. Design/methodology/approach: The objectives of the study have been completed with the help of daily closing index data collected for the period of 1st February, 2020 to 31st March, 2021. The selected countries namely USA, China, Japan, Germany and India are the top five GDP holder countries according to the IMF world economic outlook report of 2020. The results were further analyzed with the help of Johansen co-integration test, Vector error correction method, granger causality test, variance decomposition and impulse response test. Findings: The results of the study indicates that the Indian stock market is co-integrated with other developed countries' stock me kets in the long run, and there exists a significant unidirectional relationship with stock indices of USA, Japan and Germany. The results suggests that still there is scope for portfolio diversification for investors in other countries. Originality/Value: The study offers unique insights into the economic interconnections of the top five GDP-holder countries throughout the pandemic period, as well as implications for portfolio diversification for investors in other countries.
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