基于agent和基于方程的传染病传播混合模型

Elizabeth Hunter, Brian Mac Namee, John D. Kelleher
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引用次数: 25

摘要

基于主体的模型和基于方程的模型都可以用来模拟传染病的传播。基于方程的模型已被证明能够捕捉疾病爆发的整体动态,而基于主体的模型能够捕捉驱动疾病爆发传播的各主体的异质特征。然而,基于代理的模型是计算密集型的。为了捕捉基于方程和基于代理的模型的优点,我们创建了一个混合模型,其中混合模型的疾病成分在基于代理和基于方程之间切换。使用受感染的代理数确定交换机。我们首先在镇一级测试模型,然后在县一级调查不同的切换值和切换的地理水平。我们发现,与完全基于智能体的模型相比,混合模型能够节省时间,而不会失去大量的保真度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Hybrid Agent-Based and Equation Based Model for the Spread of Infectious Diseases
Both agent-based models and equation-based models can be used to model the spread of an infectious disease. Equation-based models have been shown to capture the overall dynamics of a disease outbreak while agent-based models are able to capture heterogeneous characteristics of agents that drive the spread of an outbreak. However, agent-based models are computationally intensive. To capture the advantages of both the equation-based and agent-based models, we create a hybrid model where the disease component of the hybrid model switches between agent-based and equation-based. The switch is determined using the number of agents infected. We first test the model at the town level and then the county level investigating different switch values and geographic levels of switching. We find that a hybrid model is able to save time compared to a fully agent-based model without losing a significant amount of fidelity.
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