{"title":"汇率波动对尼日利亚贸易流动的不对称影响","authors":"M. Rasaki, E. O. Oyedepo","doi":"10.20414/jed.v5i3.7192","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Purpose — This study assesses the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows in Nigeria.Method — The study employs quarterly data and covers the period 1995q1 to 2020q4. The data were sourced from International Financial Statistics (IFS) and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) websites. The paper applies both linear ARDL and non-linear ARDL (NARDL) models. These methods are employed to evaluate the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility.Result — The results from linear ARDL model show that exchange rate volatility has only significant short-run effect on export while it has both short-run and long run effects on the imports. The findings from the non-linear ARDL suggest that exchange rate volatility has neither short run nor long run asymmetric effects on exports. However, the non-linear ARDL model reveals short run and long run asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on imports. The findings show that increase in volatility reduces imports while decrease in volatility boosts imports.Contribution — Previous studies have only investigated the symmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade balance in Nigeria. This study contributes to the literature by examining the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows, using the GARCH-based measure of exchange rate volatility.","PeriodicalId":35485,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Management and Enterprise Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows in Nigeria\",\"authors\":\"M. Rasaki, E. O. Oyedepo\",\"doi\":\"10.20414/jed.v5i3.7192\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Purpose — This study assesses the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows in Nigeria.Method — The study employs quarterly data and covers the period 1995q1 to 2020q4. The data were sourced from International Financial Statistics (IFS) and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) websites. The paper applies both linear ARDL and non-linear ARDL (NARDL) models. These methods are employed to evaluate the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility.Result — The results from linear ARDL model show that exchange rate volatility has only significant short-run effect on export while it has both short-run and long run effects on the imports. The findings from the non-linear ARDL suggest that exchange rate volatility has neither short run nor long run asymmetric effects on exports. However, the non-linear ARDL model reveals short run and long run asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on imports. The findings show that increase in volatility reduces imports while decrease in volatility boosts imports.Contribution — Previous studies have only investigated the symmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade balance in Nigeria. This study contributes to the literature by examining the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows, using the GARCH-based measure of exchange rate volatility.\",\"PeriodicalId\":35485,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Management and Enterprise Development\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-05-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Management and Enterprise Development\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.20414/jed.v5i3.7192\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Business, Management and Accounting\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Management and Enterprise Development","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.20414/jed.v5i3.7192","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Business, Management and Accounting","Score":null,"Total":0}
Asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows in Nigeria
Purpose — This study assesses the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows in Nigeria.Method — The study employs quarterly data and covers the period 1995q1 to 2020q4. The data were sourced from International Financial Statistics (IFS) and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) websites. The paper applies both linear ARDL and non-linear ARDL (NARDL) models. These methods are employed to evaluate the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility.Result — The results from linear ARDL model show that exchange rate volatility has only significant short-run effect on export while it has both short-run and long run effects on the imports. The findings from the non-linear ARDL suggest that exchange rate volatility has neither short run nor long run asymmetric effects on exports. However, the non-linear ARDL model reveals short run and long run asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on imports. The findings show that increase in volatility reduces imports while decrease in volatility boosts imports.Contribution — Previous studies have only investigated the symmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade balance in Nigeria. This study contributes to the literature by examining the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on trade flows, using the GARCH-based measure of exchange rate volatility.
期刊介绍:
IJMED is a major international research journal dedicated to business development strategy and entrepreneurship policy as well as management processes in an international and cross-cultural context. IJMED provides a venue for high quality papers including theoretical research articles, evidence-based case studies and practical applications seeking to explore best practice and investigate strategies for rapid growth management in SMEs. IJMED has a history of contributing to the academic literature, providing conceptual and practical insights and generating innovative ideas for organizational enterprise. Topics covered include: -SMEs'' start-up development, corporate venturing- Technological opportunities, new firm creation, valuation- Technological adoption, technology transfer, technopreneurship- Joint ventures/alliances, franchising and corporate ownership- Business incubator development strategy- Economic and social entrepreneurship- Virtual coaching services for SMEs- SMEs and entrepreneurship policy- Start-up cognitions/behaviours- Halo effect, technology licensing- Long-run technology investments- Knowledge management/technology strategy in SMEs- Managing rapid growth, accelerating competitive effectiveness- Strategy decision speed and SME performance- Entrepreneurs in non-profit sector.