汇款流入与尼日利亚资本市场可持续性的案例

IF 0.8 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Norense John Izevbigie, F. I. Ogbeide
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于流入尼日利亚的汇款量不断增加,资本市场与经济增长之间似乎存在协同作用,本研究考察了1981年至2020年期间汇款在促进尼日利亚资本市场可持续性方面的作用。本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)建模方法进行协整分析,并根据相关理论对模型进行估计。估计表明,从长远来看,汇款对资本市场产生了重大而积极的影响。结果还表明,资本市场在任何位移情况下都能快速调整,趋同率为64%。进行的其他诊断分析,如因果关系检验,确认存在从汇款到资本市场的单向因果关系。CUSUM和CUSUMQ测试证明了模型的稳定性,使其适合于政策预测。研究结果将政策影响和建议置于首位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE CASE OF REMITTANCES INFLOW AND CAPITAL MARKET SUSTAINABILITY IN NIGERIA
Owing to the continuous increase in the volume of remittances inflow to Nigeria and the seeming synergy between capital market and economic growth, this study examines the role of remittances in fostering sustainability of the Nigeria capital market for the period 1981 to 2020. The study used Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling approach to co-integration analysis and based on relevant theory, the model was estimated. Estimates showed that remittances significantly and positively impact capital market in the long run. The result also shows that the capital market adjusts speedily to the tune of 64 percent towards convergence in any displacement. Other diagnostics analyses conducted, such as the causality test, affirmed the existence of unidirectional causality running from remittances to the capital market. CUSUM and CUSUMQ tests attest to the stability of the model, which makes it amenable for policy prediction. The findings bring the policy implications and recommendations to the fore.
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CiteScore
4.20
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