黄金和石油价格的波动将印尼资本市场与亚洲资本市场融合

Sintikhe Mega Treisya, Robiyanto Robiyanto
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引用次数: 1

摘要

资本市场整合可以受到各种变量的影响,例如黄金和石油价格的波动。本研究的目的是分析黄金和石油价格波动对印尼资本市场与亚洲资本市场整合的影响。本研究使用了2019年1月至2020年10月期间黄金和石油(西德州中质原油和北海布伦特原油)以及印度尼西亚资本市场(JKSE)、香港(HSI)、韩国(KOSPI)、印度(NIFTY 50)、中国(SSEC)、新加坡(STI)的每日收盘价的二手数据。本研究使用DCC-GARCH方法观察资本市场之间的动态相关性,并使用GARCH方法分析印尼资本市场与亚洲资本市场整合对黄金和石油价格波动的影响。研究结果表明,资本市场之间存在正相关和负相关的动态关系,从而证明印尼市场与其他市场的走势趋于不同。研究结果表明,只有布伦特原油的波动性对印尼资本市场与亚洲资本市场的整合有负面影响
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Volatilitas Harga Emas dan Minyak pada Integrasi Pasar Modal Indonesia dengan Pasar Modal Asia
Capital market integration can be influenced by various variables, such as the volatility of gold and oil prices. The purpose of this study is to analyze the volatility of gold and oil prices on the integration of the Indonesian capital market with the Asian capital market. This study uses secondary data on daily closing prices of gold and oil (West Texas Intermediate and Brent North Sea) along with the Indonesian capital markets (JKSE), Hong Kong (HSI), South Korea (KOSPI), India (NIFTY 50), China (SSEC), Singapore (STI) during the period January 2019 to October 2020. This study uses the DCC-GARCH method to see the dynamic correlation between the capital market, and the GARCH method to analyze the volatility of gold and oil prices on the integration of the Indonesian capital market with the Asian capital market. The results of the study show that there is a positive and negative dynamic correlation between the capital markets, thus proving that the movement of the Indonesian market with other markets tends to vary. The results show that only the volatility of Brent oil has a negative effect on the integration of the Indonesian capital market with the Asian capital market
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